The Beat Goes On……

Another beatdown of the Criminoles capped off a perfect Senior Day at the Swamp.  The gap between the two programs is as wide as ever.  The superiority in talent and coaching was in evidence for a national audience to witness on Saturday, and the last 3 victories so complete that even Blobby Bowdown has had enough and will retire.  How much better could the script be than that?  The coach that coined such sportsmanlike phrases like, “Praying for a misdemeanor”, “The Polish Rules”, “playing to the echo of the whistle”, all the while doing anything and everything to keep players eligible and continually recruiting thugs like Darnell Dockett, Geno Taze, er, Hayes, and currently Nigel Bradham and Greg Reid, can’t hang with the Gators anymore.

The Florida defense toyed with F$U all day.  The Criminole OL (aka “The Turnstiles”) were once again dominated by the Gator front seven.  No running game of note, and a dink-and-dunk passing game that hardly posed any threat.  That’s one dangerous offense new head coach Dumbo Fisher has.

Even worse was the F$U defense, which is defenseless this year, and is the worst in probably over 30 years in Taliban City.  The Gator offense didn’t have to do anything but run mostly base plays, letting the OL easily abuse the Criminole front seven.  There were some good developments — seeing some long runs broken off by Demps and Rainey, improved pass protection, and some very accurate passes to the intermediate zones by Tebow to Cooper and Nelson.

Talk about “resistance is futile”.  Florida dominates F$U across the board, and the best thing is that the F$U “fans” still think it’s going to get better.  They have no idea how the past 3 years of poor recruiting, to be coupled with a weak class this year (and possibly a few more), will keep them down for a loooong time.

It was quite an atmosphere at the Swamp, watching the introductions of the Senior class.  The accomplishments of this group are on a level of the best groups in SEC history, and possibly nationally as well.  It was an emotional week for Coach Meyer and the departing players, capped off perfectly on a beautiful afternoon.  By the time Tim Tebow was introduced, if there was a dry eye in the stadium, that soon changed as he wept openly on his walk to hug Coach Meyer, a truly wonderful moment.  It was almost surreal during the last few drives by the Gators, as camera flashes went wild, looking almost like paparazzi at an awards show, capturing Tebow’s last few snaps in the Swamp.

But, as the players themselves said to a man, there’s still work to do……

It’s on to Atlanta for a rematch with the Crimson Tide in a game that somehow may eclipse last year’s in anticipation and hype.  Alabama has wanted the Gators all season, and now has them.

I really think that Bama will throw a lot on first and second down — especially with Carlos Dunlap out — and it could hurt the Gators.  It would also take some pressure off of McElroy by not putting him in must-pass scenarios on 3rd down.  The loss of Dunlap’s playmaking against the pass could be felt much more than folks are talking about.  There’s no way Bama’s OL is as good as last year — despite the running success of Ingram and Richardson.  Last year’s group was damn good.  They have no lineman that can Dunlap one-on-one, but now they don’t have that worry.  Justin Trattou will probably move out to DE.  He is a tenacious player, and plays the run very well.  But , he is still playing hurt with a ruptured biceps tendon.

Coach Strong will have to adjust accordingly.  I expect to see the multiple looks from the front seven that have been so successful the second half of the season, and hope that this can lead to some confusion on the Bama OL and with the QB.  As good as Julio Jones is at WR, Florida has enough talent at CB that I could see some exotic blitz packages dialed up to try and force a turnover or get a timely defensive stop.

The Florida offense seems to have turned the corner since the start of the Georgia game in terms of finally spreading the ball around and utilizing all of the skill players.  The zone-read must remain the staple of the game plan…..but Coach Addazio HAS to spread the ball around early and often.  That has been the key to better efficiency on offense.  Once again, the Tide will have the best defense the Gators have faced all season, and they have the experience pf playing Florida as recently as last year to learn from.  Coach Saban knows defense, and I fully expect them to frustrate the Gator offense occasionally.  Cody, McClain, Arenas, Jackson, and co. are simply too good and experienced to expect anything less than a difficult challenge from.  However, this is no time for Florida to go into a shell.  You have great senior leadership and playmaking — take advantage of it.

Another #1 vs. #2 matchup.  Another berth in the BCS Championship Game at stake.  And this quite possibly will be the most-watched college game on CBS — ever.  Unbelievably, the hype exceeds 2008, and again proves the superiority and cache of SEC football across the country.

Irresistible force meets immovable object again.  Bama has immense motivation to avenge last year’s loss, while at the same time Florida seeks a special place in college football history.  It has been a year of distractions and detractors for the Gators, even going into this game.  And yet, they persevere to survive and advance.  I have to go with the coaches and players that can face and overcome what this group of Gators has done.

Prediction – Florida 27        Alabama 23

Mission accomplished against FIU, except for the injury to AJ Jones that could keep him out until the bowl game.  Florida was able to clear the bench in the second half, and give the young guys plenty of reps before the next 2 games.  Coach Meyer complimented the team for staying focused and practicing well, even with an outmanned opponent to play against. 

It was apparent that the staff wanted to work on the passing game quite a bit with Tebow, and they went with a lot of empty-set looks to work on timing routes and underneath stuff — good idea to work on this now, as the level of competition ramps back up with the Criminoles coming to the Swamp.

The defense played a solid game.  Coach Strong knew he could keep things simple against FIU.  The tackling was good, and once again no touchdowns allowed.  Business as usual.

It’s now on the Florida State, and Rivalry Week.  This is not a vintage Criminole team, what with a lousy defense, no running game, and a serious lack of playmakers on both sides of the ball.  Even providing on-line courses with the answers, the usual cash inducements, and always discounting any lack of character, it looks like F$U just doesn’t have the cache it once did.  Gator fans have had to put up with the garbage coming out of Taliban City for 25 years, but karma is now putting them back in their rightful place.

On offense, E.J. Manuel won’t have weak sister ACC defenses like Wake Forest and Maryland to face.  Hopefully Coach Strong unloads a lot of pressure on the F$U OL and WRs to disrupt the dink-and-dunk passing game of Dumbo Fisher, which should lead to a lot of 3-and-outs and possibly some turnovers.  The Turnstiles on their OL are still in place, and I expect a lot of Gator meetings behind the LOS.  The only thing that could be problematic is Manuel’s running ability, and I fully expect some draw plays and read options called to take advantage of that.  However, Florida’s defense can run with anyone, and should be able to limit the effectiveness of that.  The Gator front seven is superior in ability and more physical than F$U, and should be able to dictate the pace of the game.

The F$U defense is in shambles.  Their DL is the weakest it’s been since the early ’80s.  They have their usual talent and thuggishness at LB in Bradham, Watson, and Carr.  The Criminole secondary also has some talent at CB in Robinson and turncoat Greg Reid, but their safety play is poor, and has been for years.  The fact that they can ruin Florida’s season will give them extra motivation to play hard and to “the echo of the whistle”, but, quite simply, they don’t have the talent or coaching to stand up to the Gators for a full game.

 The Florida offense has to elevate it’s level of play now.  No more excuses — it’s time to physically dominate in the run game, and to execute some crisp pass plays to gain momentum early and slowly beat down F$U.  There are only 8 more quarters of play to achieve their goals, and there’s no reason the Gators shouldn’t push through to the finish.  The OL should be able to impose it’s will all game, and allow Tebow, Demps, Rainey, Cooper, Hernandez, and Co. to make plays.   

** Extra Bonus Points **  Florida gets to kick Mickey “the Lizard” Andrews’ *#$ one more time before he retires as well.

It’s going to be an especially emotional Senior Day, with an outstanding class playing their final home game at Florida.  Tim Tebow and Brandon Spikes are the headliners, but there are a ton of talented players that have contributed from their freshman year, and as the names are called, it’s really going to hit home all of the great things they have accomplished.  There will be a lot of tears shed by not just the fans, but Coach Meyer as well.

With all of the attention of Senior Day, the imminent fall of the Criminole empire, the countdown to St. Bobby being wheeled away from the sidelines, and the SEC Championship Game talk, this will be a real test of the leadership of this team to focus on the immediate job at hand.  Fortunately for Florida, it doesn’t get any better than Urban Meyer, Tim Tebow, and Brandon Spikes to lead any team, and the players have already had an almost weekly dose of distractions to deal with and push through all season.  The Gators will be ready for this game.

Preciction – Florida 34        F$U 14

The Gators followed the season-long script against the Lamecocks, showing signs of breaking out of a scoring funk, and yet not quite executing well enough to make it happen.  The playcalling seems to be loosening up, and more of the entire field is now being attacked, which is a promising sign.  But time is running out to make the key plays it requires to win an SEC championship.

The long TD to Cooper definitely set the tone early and took the crowd out of the game, and the entire offense looked as good as it has all season — until the 10 minute mark of the second quarter.  After forcing a turnover with a 17-7 lead and starting at midfield, the offense went flat, and wasted multiple opportunities provided by the defense to put the game away early.  Then Coach Meyer made a surprising call to go for a long FG instead of pinning Carolina down and letting the defense continue to dominate.  They then went on a TD drive to make the score 17-14 at the half — not exactly Meyer’s “Plan to Win” formula.

It was then a fight until the play of the game to start the 4th quarter, the tipped pass and interception return by Trattou that set up Florida with a short field to ice the game.  A great play all around, and excellent blocking by the defensive players.  The defense completely dominated the 4th quarter, as the Lamecocks could not figure out the Joker package and the various blitz packages thrown at them — great work by Coach Strong and the defensive staff.

The offense in general is actually improving.  Less predictability, more downfield passing, and the pass protection is getting better, but still has a ways to go.  The most interesting development was Xavier Nixon getting the start at LT, with Carl Johnson moving back to LG, where he is a natural, and can really help the interior running game take off.  If Nixon can play a serviceable game going forward, this move could be enough to push the Gators to a win against Alabama……but we’re getting a little ahead of ourselves, aren’t we?

This week is another glorified scrimmage, which is fine with me.  Get the rust knocked off of Brantley and the younger players.  Rest the starters and……wait for it……NO INJURIES!  Two big games coming up to close out the 2009 regular season, and it’s imperative to have the full complement of players ready for F$U and Alabama.

Prediction Florida 45        FIU 7

Vanderbilt Review / South Carolina Preview It was talent over execution or game plan, as the Gator offense took a step back to where it has been wallowing for over a month. So much for the hope that the game plan for each game forward would build on the success against Georgia. Back to the dive plays against a stacked box, shaky pass protection, and no downfield pass plays to the WRs. Does Steve Addazio really believe he’s playing possum with future opponents, or is he simply incapable of being both the OL coach and Offensive Coordinator? I know Coach Meyer is fiercely loyal to his assistants, but Coach A has failed this year to put a talented group of players consistently in position to be successful.

One again the defense was stellar, allowing only a FG. That’s now a total of 6 TDs allowed by the defense in 9 games. Yes, the Commodore offense is a level below most SEC opponents, but the performance of the defense has been consistently solid all year. Ryan Stamper filled in nicely for Brandon Spikes, who served his suspension for “giving Washaun Ealey the business”. The DL and secondary were never really challenged, but played hard and hustled to the ball. Carlos Dunlap is playing his best ball of the season, running many plays down from behind to make the tackle.

Another week, another distraction (or distractions), as Coach Meyer was fined $30,00 by the SEC for criticizing the referees for not calling a penalty on the late hit on Tebow by Georgia. What a joke — while *&%#! Lame Kiffen gets a “reprimand” for calling other coaches liars and criticizing recruits that don’t come to Tennessee.

For some reason, I’m more worried about the upcoming game with the Lamecocks than I normally would be. I’m sure part of it is the inconsistent play of the Gator offense this year, but I also wonder, now that the SEC Championship Game matchup is set, if Coach Meyer can keep the team focused on the next game only. He has done a fine job so far, but there remains work to be done..

South Carolina actually has shown signs of life this year in the passing game, and Stephen Garcia is a good runner who can keep plays alive. His biggest problem is still accuracy, though, and I hope that continues at least one more week. The USCe running game has tailed off, which should allow the Gators to get by with a 4-man line and drop the LBs into the intermediate zones and cover the seam route to the TE that they go to multiple times each game. The Florida cornerbacks will be outsized, but neither Alshon Jeffery or Freddie Brown have elite speed, so the safeties should be able to keep things in front of them and help over the middle.

The real mystery is what Gator offense shows up? Eric Norwood is going to be a matchup problem for both of the OTs, and Aaron Hernandez may need to block a little more than usual in the passing game. Of course, a strong inside running game and some actual read option plays on the edges can help negate Norwood’s aggressiveness somewhat. Normally I would say that the passing game should have success against an inexperienced Carolina secondary, but there is no consistency week-to-week. There is a lot of pressure on the Florida offense to finally make a statement against a good defense, and it’s getting late in the season to make it happen. Tebow can still play better, and his reads and decision-making have to speed up. He has help the ball too long much too often this year, and takes too many sacks. Some of this is attributed to Coach Meyer’s “Plan to Win”, which includes limiting turnovers, but I think Tim has played things a little too safe, and has not made the pass plays he did in 2007 and 2008.

Ultimately, I believe that despite the offensive struggles this year, there is simply too much talent and leadership throughout the lineup to allow a letdown now. It’s time to remind the Pariah that the Gators come first, no matter what. I’m hopeful for another beatdown similar to the past 2 years, but it’s “survive and advance” in 2009.

Prediction – Florida 27 South Carolina 17