The Gators followed the season-long script against the Lamecocks, showing signs of breaking out of a scoring funk, and yet not quite executing well enough to make it happen.  The playcalling seems to be loosening up, and more of the entire field is now being attacked, which is a promising sign.  But time is running out to make the key plays it requires to win an SEC championship.

The long TD to Cooper definitely set the tone early and took the crowd out of the game, and the entire offense looked as good as it has all season — until the 10 minute mark of the second quarter.  After forcing a turnover with a 17-7 lead and starting at midfield, the offense went flat, and wasted multiple opportunities provided by the defense to put the game away early.  Then Coach Meyer made a surprising call to go for a long FG instead of pinning Carolina down and letting the defense continue to dominate.  They then went on a TD drive to make the score 17-14 at the half — not exactly Meyer’s “Plan to Win” formula.

It was then a fight until the play of the game to start the 4th quarter, the tipped pass and interception return by Trattou that set up Florida with a short field to ice the game.  A great play all around, and excellent blocking by the defensive players.  The defense completely dominated the 4th quarter, as the Lamecocks could not figure out the Joker package and the various blitz packages thrown at them — great work by Coach Strong and the defensive staff.

The offense in general is actually improving.  Less predictability, more downfield passing, and the pass protection is getting better, but still has a ways to go.  The most interesting development was Xavier Nixon getting the start at LT, with Carl Johnson moving back to LG, where he is a natural, and can really help the interior running game take off.  If Nixon can play a serviceable game going forward, this move could be enough to push the Gators to a win against Alabama……but we’re getting a little ahead of ourselves, aren’t we?

This week is another glorified scrimmage, which is fine with me.  Get the rust knocked off of Brantley and the younger players.  Rest the starters and……wait for it……NO INJURIES!  Two big games coming up to close out the 2009 regular season, and it’s imperative to have the full complement of players ready for F$U and Alabama.

Prediction Florida 45        FIU 7

Vanderbilt Review / South Carolina Preview It was talent over execution or game plan, as the Gator offense took a step back to where it has been wallowing for over a month. So much for the hope that the game plan for each game forward would build on the success against Georgia. Back to the dive plays against a stacked box, shaky pass protection, and no downfield pass plays to the WRs. Does Steve Addazio really believe he’s playing possum with future opponents, or is he simply incapable of being both the OL coach and Offensive Coordinator? I know Coach Meyer is fiercely loyal to his assistants, but Coach A has failed this year to put a talented group of players consistently in position to be successful.

One again the defense was stellar, allowing only a FG. That’s now a total of 6 TDs allowed by the defense in 9 games. Yes, the Commodore offense is a level below most SEC opponents, but the performance of the defense has been consistently solid all year. Ryan Stamper filled in nicely for Brandon Spikes, who served his suspension for “giving Washaun Ealey the business”. The DL and secondary were never really challenged, but played hard and hustled to the ball. Carlos Dunlap is playing his best ball of the season, running many plays down from behind to make the tackle.

Another week, another distraction (or distractions), as Coach Meyer was fined $30,00 by the SEC for criticizing the referees for not calling a penalty on the late hit on Tebow by Georgia. What a joke — while *&%#! Lame Kiffen gets a “reprimand” for calling other coaches liars and criticizing recruits that don’t come to Tennessee.

For some reason, I’m more worried about the upcoming game with the Lamecocks than I normally would be. I’m sure part of it is the inconsistent play of the Gator offense this year, but I also wonder, now that the SEC Championship Game matchup is set, if Coach Meyer can keep the team focused on the next game only. He has done a fine job so far, but there remains work to be done..

South Carolina actually has shown signs of life this year in the passing game, and Stephen Garcia is a good runner who can keep plays alive. His biggest problem is still accuracy, though, and I hope that continues at least one more week. The USCe running game has tailed off, which should allow the Gators to get by with a 4-man line and drop the LBs into the intermediate zones and cover the seam route to the TE that they go to multiple times each game. The Florida cornerbacks will be outsized, but neither Alshon Jeffery or Freddie Brown have elite speed, so the safeties should be able to keep things in front of them and help over the middle.

The real mystery is what Gator offense shows up? Eric Norwood is going to be a matchup problem for both of the OTs, and Aaron Hernandez may need to block a little more than usual in the passing game. Of course, a strong inside running game and some actual read option plays on the edges can help negate Norwood’s aggressiveness somewhat. Normally I would say that the passing game should have success against an inexperienced Carolina secondary, but there is no consistency week-to-week. There is a lot of pressure on the Florida offense to finally make a statement against a good defense, and it’s getting late in the season to make it happen. Tebow can still play better, and his reads and decision-making have to speed up. He has help the ball too long much too often this year, and takes too many sacks. Some of this is attributed to Coach Meyer’s “Plan to Win”, which includes limiting turnovers, but I think Tim has played things a little too safe, and has not made the pass plays he did in 2007 and 2008.

Ultimately, I believe that despite the offensive struggles this year, there is simply too much talent and leadership throughout the lineup to allow a letdown now. It’s time to remind the Pariah that the Gators come first, no matter what. I’m hopeful for another beatdown similar to the past 2 years, but it’s “survive and advance” in 2009.

Prediction – Florida 27 South Carolina 17

For a rather uneventful first 4 games, there sure has been more intrigue off the field than on for the Florida Gators, and the off week and the days leading up to the showdown at Baton Rouge have been no different.

Will or won’t Tim Tebow play?  Can Johnny Brantley win in his first ever start, on the road, against a quality SEC team in a tough environment?  Can the Gators throw the ball downfield?  Does the dream end at Death Valley?

This game is very hard to predict, because of all the hype combined with a bunch of 18-22 year old kids feeling it.  Honestly, with a healthy Tebow, the outstanding senior leadership, a tough running game, and great special teams, that normally is the perfect recipe for winning on the road no matter the environment.  While many are ready to heap praise and confidence in Brantley if he starts, I just can’t do it yet.  No starts, and no meaningful early snaps with the first team?  This is not the right recipe in the college game.

LSU is still an enigma.  They certainly have enough front-line talent to beat any team, but have yet to put it all together this season.  Jordan Jefferson has enough mobility to bail himself out of trouble against some expected pressure by the Florida defense.  Brandon LaFell is a playmaker at WR, but even as a senior he still has lapses in concentration catching the ball.  He had his way with Joe Haden last year in Gainesville, though.  Richard Dickson a clutch performer at TE, and Terence Tolliver is a big target at the other WR position.  Even true freshman Reuben Randle is starting to contribute.  However, none of those WRs has elite speed, and UF should be able to play a lot of man coverage if necessary to free up the safeties and LBs to support the run or blitz.

The Tiger running game was expected to be strong again this year, but has struggled.  Charles Scott and Keiland Williams are quality runners, but the O-Line just hasn’t been consistent.  Their performance against Georgia can’t inspire too much confidence, as the Puppies have been soft on defense all year, and LSU struggled in short yardage all game.  Jefferson looked awful running the option — he seemed much more comfortable in the pocket or taking off on scrambles if necessary.

What about the Gator offensive game plan?  There’s simply no way to predict what the scheme and play-calling will be like if Brantley gets the start.  The running game I believe will suffer due to the fact he can’t run the option with the effectiveness of Tebow, nor do I believe he would be put at injury risk if Tebow is not allowed to play.  It may be time to really incorporate the RBs in the passing game as well, and I would expect many more swing passes and a few screens to any of Rainey, Demps, or Moody.  Deonte Thompson is supposedly ready, and that should be a real lift to the passing game, allowing the Gators to stretch the Tiger secondary vertically, and at least present the threat of the deep ball to loosen them up.  I would also expect a slightly different passing scheme, with Hernandez and Cooper getting more looks in the seams and over the middle.

Now, If Tebow is cleared and ready to go, I fully expect him to still be the physical player he is, and to be allowed to run the option, draws, and do whatever he can to win the game.  No doubt his presence on the field would be a huge lift to Florida.  Even with LSU expecting the run with him in the game, his added dimension of running, along with the best interior OL in college football, should be able to generate a decent or better run game that should find success against a Tiger DL that is not of the same quality or depth as it has been the previous 4 years.  Of course, Tebow’s presence allows Demps and Rainey to become even more dangerous on the edge, as they were last year when they ripped through LSU all night.

On defense, Florida appears to have a solid advantage overall with it’s depth and experience.  Despite perhaps the best group of skill players it will face this year, Florida’s team speed and solid back seven should hopefully be good enough to allow Coach Strong to pick his spots as far as any blitzing, and I have to think there are plenty of new looks and schemes he has not had to show all year to confuse Jefferson.  All that being said, the Gator D-Line must do it’s job against the run.  Terron Sanders, Jaye Howard, Lawrence March, and Omar Hunter — time to shine.  If they can stuff the Tiger running game, Jefferson is in for a long night.  It’s time for Jermaine Cunningham, Carlos Dunlap, and Justin Trattou to have a big game rushing the passer, and they should have some success against a Tiger OL that has struggled to date.

Despite the uncertainty going in to this game, I’m going down in flames with the better Head Coach, better defense, better special teams, and more experienced team in this one.

Prediction – Florida 24        L$U 17