Missouri Preview

Florida is back on the road this week, travelling to Columbia to face Missouri.  The stakes are now raised for the Gators, coming into the game ranked #8 in the country and suddenly having a LOT to play for going forward.  They now have the target on their back and can expect that much more from their opponents.  It will be interesting to see how the team responds to the added pressure and expectations.

Missouri’s offense is led by QB Austin Simmons, who transferred from Mississippi after getting injured early in the 2025 season and being replaced by Trinidad Chambliss – he knew he wasn’t going to play again and made a smart move.  Simmons has played very well in 2026, completing 65% of his passes for 236 yards per game, with 11 TDs and no interceptions.  That is winning football.  The Tigers are coming off of a road loss at Mississippi St., where their perceived areas of concern in their running game and defense were exposed.  Graduation and injuries have caused a significant step back in performance in both areas, and Florida’s defense has to press that advantage.  RB Jamal Roberts is by far their leading rusher, with 89 attempts while averaging just under 100 yards per game – albeit against some weaker competition.  Where Missouri has excelled so far is in the passing game.  Simmons has an elite WR target in Cayden Lee, who played with him at Ole Miss, and their on-field connection is noticeable.  Lee is averaging over 100 yards per game and has 4 TD catches.  Donovan Olugbode is another big target and has 5 TD receptions of his own.  The Gator secondary (again) has to be on notice and do what they can to slow down the Tigers through the air, or it could become another shootout, and that’s dangerous living.  Florida’s front seven looks to have an advantage at the line of scrimmage, but must continue to play hard and with energy every down – no let up.  You can’t expect your offense to bail you out every week.  There is one injury of note – CB Dijon Johnson limped off the field in the 3rd quarter last week, and the secondary suffered for it.  His status is in question this week, so the pass rush needs to step up it’s game to help out.  Fortunately, Simmons is not the running threat the Gators have faced the previous 2 weeks in Byrum Brown and Chambliss, so here’s hoping they can get some sacks and make Simmons uncomfortable in the pocket.  If he has time to make his reads and the coverage continues to be poor, that’s a recipe for an upset on the road.

The Florida offense has been nearly unstoppable so far, ranking among the top 5 in The country in scoring and yards per game.  While MIssouri’s defensive statistics look good so far, they had feasted on weak teams until last week, and were gashed at Starkville.  They are trying to rebuild after losing a lot of talent to the NFL the last 2 seasons, and the Gators need to keep the pressure on and put doubt into their minds early and often.  There is still talent – LBs Nick Rodriguez and Robert Woodyard Jr., along with safety Santana Banner, are far and away their 3 leading tacklers.  DE Daeden Hopkins has racked up 6 of their 12 total sacks, and Florida’s offensive tackles have to slow him down.  Of course, the best way to do that is to continue to run the ball effectively, and this will again be the key matchup for the offense.  The emergence of Duke Clark can take some of the load off of Jaden Baugh, while Aaron Philo hopefully continues to be efficient in his play – keeping the offense out of negative plays while limiting sacks and turnovers.  There are injury concerns at WR – VB3 incurred an unspecified knee injury last week and his status is unknown, while Bailey Stockton suffered that terrible targeting hit and could have some lasting effects from it.  If both or either can’t play, TJ Abrams and Micah Mays need to contribute, so Missouri can’t focus solely on Dallas Wilson.  I’m hoping Eric Singleton’s ankle injury continues to improve and that he’s available more than last week.  This might be a game where the TEs will be more involved in the passing game than expected – they have exceeded expectations so far, and could be relied upon more than usual.  Amir Jackson and Luke Harpring have been very good to date.  I know one thing – OC Buster Faulkner and OL Coach Phil Trautwein will have a good game plan put together.  Let’s hope the players stay focused and continue to play hard.

Florida’s special teams have been excellent so far, and they will have a huge challenge this week to contain kickoff and punt returner DeMarion Fowlkes.  He averages 29 yards on kickoff returns and 26 yards on punt returns, including a TD.  The Gator kickers need to do their job and the coverage units are on notice.  We saw just last week how much kick returns and punting can directly impact a game.  Of note is the fact that Patrick Durkin did not attempt the last PAT or kickoff last week for the Gators.  If he can’t play, that’s a huge blow.  

** Rat Poison Alert **

Nick Saban coined this phrase while at Alabama for when his team was coming off of a big win and everyone – fans and media included – were heaping praise on his team.  Those are the moments when your players can easily lose focus and discipline, leading to a poor performance and a loss.  Jon Sumrall and his staff now have to fight the same affliction, and keep the team humble and working hard.  Missouri and Faurot Field have a weird vibe being well outside the geographic footprint of the South, and many teams have played poorly there – including the Gators too many times.  This is no time for a letdown, but human nature being what it is and seeing far too often how teams have suffered from one, don’t be shocked if Florida stumbles and the game is in doubt until the end.

I do believe the Gators are vastly improved and have an edge in all 3 phases, but that’s why they play the games.  I want the Gators to “Show Me” that they won’t easily fall into a mental trap and waste the hard work they have put in since January.  I’m also glad that this game comes early in October, as the weather in Columbia can be dicey and oftentimes poor later in the season.  It looks like a sunny, clear day for the game – perfect for the Gator offense to continue to roll.

Prediction:

Florida 31

Missouri 20

Mississippi Review

Florida football is finally fun again.  The Gators took Ole Miss behind the woodshed at The Swamp – rolling up over 300 yards rushing, holding the ball for 37 minutes, and never letting up the pressure in a statement 52-28 victory.  That performance has caught the attention of the nation and the media for the first time since the opening win over Utah in 2022.  At least this time there’s every indication that the head coach and his staff are actually competent and professional enough to prove over time that there’s actual substance behind the result.

Florida’s offense manhandled the Rebels the entire game, totaling 495 yards of and punting only twice, both times late in each half while running out the clock.  Jaden Baugh ran for 142 yards and 3 TDs, and Duke Clark had 126 yards rushing that included 2 long runs and a TD to announce himself as a weapon in his own right and the best RB2 in the country.  As well as both of them played, it was the performance of the O-line that really opened eyes across the country, as Florida pushed Mississippi around all afternoon and dominated the line of scrimmage.  OC Buster Faulkner and OL coach Phil Trautwein are being praised nationally by pundits, and they deserve every bit of it.  What they have done in 8 months to change the mindset of the players and improve their performance is one of the best coaching jobs in recent memory.  Faulkner’s fast, attacking style has already done wonders for the offense.  Even when Ole Miss found it’s footing offensively in the second half and twice closed to within one score, the offense never missed a beat and took back the momentum quickly and decisively.  QB Aaron Philo was solid again with 196 passing yards and 1 TD, spread the ball around to 8 different receivers, and did not turn the ball over while managing the offense.  While no single receiver had a huge game, perhaps the biggest development was getting Eric Singleton back on the field for a handful of plays.  He has elite speed and immediately had an effect on the defense, drawing a pass interference call and catching a pass for 38 yards on a deep corner route, leading to the final score.  If his ankle continues to improve, he will help open up the field even more for the offense.  The halftime score of 17-6 in Florida’s favor could have been much worse for Ole Miss if the Gators hadn’t missed a few easy pass completions and failed on a short 4th down conversion in the red zone.  

Florida’s defense was once again a mixed bag of good and bad, but did just enough against a powerful Ole Miss offense to give the Gator offense enough possessions to keep control of the game.  The defensive performance was much better in the first half, including a 4th down stop in Rebel territory and holding them to 2 FGs after they had reached the red zone.  Limiting Ole Miss to 6 points was critical, as the Rebel offense came alive in the second half and scored 3 TDs in 4 drives, making for some tense moments as they tried to turn momentum their way.  Trinidad Chambliss showed why is a Heisman candidate, throwing for 298 yards and a TD while running for 47 yards and 2 TDs.  Once again the Gator secondary collapsed in the second half, leaving receivers wide open and allowing Ole Miss to score way too quickly.  Fortunately, the defense did force 2 turnovers – the first on a sack of Chambliss by Jayden Woods that forced a fumble, and an interception by DJ Coleman late in the game to end the Rebels’ last possession.  Overall the tackling was good and the front seven did a decent job defending the run.  The absence of RB Kewan Lacy due to injury did impact the Ole Miss running game, but injuries are a part of the game, and I’m not going to apologize for taking advantage of them.  Florida did have intermittent success pressuring Chambliss, but DC Brad White still has work to do on the secondary’s pass coverage.  

It’s a team game, and Florida’s special teams were exactly that on Saturday.  London Montgomery had two electric kickoff returns after the Rebels twice closed to within one score in the second half, setting up the offense in prime scoring position and immediately choking out any thoughts Ole Miss had of taking the lead.  Patrick Durkin again showed why he is one of the best placekickers in the country, making his only FG attempt, a 49-yard kick that extended the lead to 10-0.  The Gator coverage units were exceptional, allowing only a 17-yard average on 5 kickoff returns.  Punter Alec Clark had a huge moment, ending any chance of the Rebels scoring late in the first half with a 70 yard punt that went out of bounds at the Mississippi 1-yard line.  Special teams played a huge part in the victory, easily winning the hidden yards game within the game.  Those two kickoff returns kept momentum on Florida’s side and were a huge mental boost to the players while getting the crowd right back into the game.

It’s been a long time since Florida has looked this dominant against a quality SEC opponent, and the Gators are putting the rest of the league and the nation on notice that Jon Sumrall and his staff know what they’re doing and how to win.  There are still some huge challenges ahead on the schedule, but the team’s confidence has to be soaring knowing that it can compete with anyone.  That kind of juice, coming from winning games but also from the head coach every day, can go a long way.

Mississippi Preview

It’s a huge showdown in the Swamp this Saturday, with Florida hosting Ole MIss.  Both teams are coming off emotional wins last week, and each tries to keep the train rolling in SEC play.  The Rebels closed out former head coach Lane Kiffin and his new school, LSU, at home, and will provide the first of a handful of huge challenges for the Gators this season.

The Rebels are led by QB Trinidad Chambliss, who pilots a fast-paced, high-scoring offense that is similar in style to Auburn, but is faster and more efficient and led by a much better QB.  Chambliss is a dangerous runner and a better passer than Byrum Brown, and leads the SEC with 308 passing yards per game.  He’s also their second-leading ball carrier, showing how important he is to the offense and why he’s a Heisman candidate.  Kewan Lacy is in the discussion for best RB in the SEC, and is also a decent receiver.  His status for the game will be watched closely, as he injured his shoulder against LSU and will be a game-time decision.  If he can’t play or sees limited action, that’s a big help for the Gators.  WR Deuce Alexander is one of the fastest players in the country, leads the SEC in receptions and receiving yards, and is Chambliss’ primary target.  TE Caleb Odom is a huge target and averages 19 yards per catch.  Ole Miss has plenty of weapons to challenge Florida’s defense, and the Gators have a tough task ahead just to slow down the Rebels somewhat to give their offense enough possessions and scoring opportunities to win.   DC Brad White and Head Coach Jon Sumrall are not happy with the defensive results so far, nor should they be.  There have been too many missed assignments in the secondary allowing easy pass completions, and the LBs – thought to be the strength of the unit – have not had much impact.  If this means simplifying the scheme to let the defenders more easily identify their responsibility each play, then have at it, because Ole Miss will carve them up if they don’t improve.  The D-line has been solid so far, and had it’s breakout performance at Auburn.  Now – can they continue that level of play?  They’ll have to disrupt the Rebel offense and get Chambliss off of his first read.  He’s elusive enough that he can make scramble plays against any defense in the country, but he also will turn the ball over when successfully pressured.

Florida’s offense will again have to be proficient and score a lot of points.  The Ole MIss defense can be had, especially in the passing game, so I expect more up-tempo pace and passes that attack all 3 levels of the Rebel defense.  In a perfect world, the Gators could control time of possession by running Jaden Baugh and Duke Clark a combined 40+ times and limiting the number of possessions for the Rebel offense.  But given Florida’s defensive lapses to date plus the elite playmaking ability of Chambliss, I don’t think they’ll have that luxury and will need as many scoring opportunities as they can get.  Having this game at home should be a huge advantage for the Gator offense to limit penalties and communicate play calls quickly.  Florida’s O-line will have to play it’s best game yet, as the Rebels have rolled up 22 sacks through just 3 games.  The OL have to clean up some pass protection issues, especially the tackles.  Suntarine Perkins is one of the best pass rushers in the SEC, and the Ole Miss LB corps is strong and includes the team’s 3 leading tacklers, including Tah’j Butler and Keaton Thomas.

Florida does seem to have a slight advantage on special teams, and winning in the margins may be the difference.  PK Patrick Durkin has been great so far, and VB3 is a threat in the return game when given the chance.  Every phase of the game will need to be on point to win.

This game has the makings of another wild shootout.  It will be interesting to see if Florida’s coaching staff can get it’s younger, less-experienced team refocused.   Ole Miss has now played it’s last 6 games going back to last year’s Playoff against ranked opponents, going 5-1.  That experience against tough competition can’t be overstated, and gives them a decided mental edge.  If things go sideways early for them, they will not panic.  Florida won’t have the luxury of easing off in the 4th quarter like last week – this game will be a 60 minute war, and likely not decided until very late.  I picked Ole Miss to win in my preseason preview, and I’m going to stick with that, despite Florida’s marked improvement from last season.  The Gators certainly have a chance to win – especially at The Swamp – but will have to play even better overall than against Auburn to do it.  Winning the turnover battle and limiting penalties will be critical to Florida’s chances.

Prediction:

Mississippi 38

Florida 35

Auburn Review

Florida earned a much needed 44-39 win at Auburn Saturday night.  This result was huge for many reasons – Jon Sumrall’s program, the confidence of a team not used to winning big games under Basement Billy, injecting life and juice into the fan base, and putting the rest of the SEC on notice that Florida must be reckoned with again.

The game wasn’t pretty at times, with the Gators committing 16 penalties (some very dubious), while the defense struggled to get off the field on 3rd and 4th down too often and did a poor job of closing out the 4th quarter.  While disappointing, I can’t say I’m shocked, given the poor coaching and losing mentality left behind by Rural Meyer.  Many of these current Gators had little starting experience in such a tough environment, nerves were certainly a factor, and the O-line and secondary have been rebuilt.  But after 60 minutes it was clear that Florida was the superior team, and the game itself wasn’t as close as the final score.

Buster Faulkner has to be the early front-runner for National Assistant Coach of the Year.  He completely schooled Auburn DC DJ Durkin, as the Gators rolled up 495 yards of offense, which included 200+ rushing yards against a solid SEC defense and only one punt.  Faulkner’s playcalling and scheme were quick, decisive, and aggressive – all of which have been missing in Gainesville for far too long.  QB Aaron Philo was sharp, making good reads and throws even when taking some big hits.  He looked calm and in command all night, and has ended any concerns about the offseason battle for the starting job.  Jaden Baugh had 162 yards and 3 rushing TDs, again showing why he is in the conversation for best RB in the SEC and starting to receive national attention.  Notably, it appears that Duke Clark has solidified the RB2 slot, as he delivered two massive clutch plays – breaking multiple tackles for a TD on 3rd and goal from the 20, and then catching a 4th down pass to extend Florida’s last scoring possession in the 4th quarter, which led to a 12-point lead with under 11 minutes left – enough for the defense to protect despite it’s letdown.  WRs VB3 and Dallas Wilson were open all night and had quite a few chunk plays, including a TD reception by Wilson on a beautiful seam route.  The Gator O-line held up well enough despite some annoying procedure penalties and some occasional shoddy pass-blocking by the tackles.  Finally, the offense ran up-tempo for much of the night, not allowing Auburn to substitute as often as it wished and simplifying the defenses it had to face – what a concept!   It’s funny to think of how a 44 point explosion on the road could leave room for improvement, but there’s still plenty to work on – especially for the OL.  Quite the turnaround from the last 4 years of mostly slow-paced, poorly played, unimaginative garbage. 

Florida’s defense was a weird dichotomy of big plays combined with mental and physical letdowns that allowed Auburn to stay closer than it should have.  Cormani McClain made a huge interception on Auburn’s first drive to set up Florida’s opening score and gain momentum.  The front seven controlled the Tiger running game less some scramble plays from QB Byrum Brown.  The D-line racked up 7 sacks led by Emmanuel Oyebadejo, who looked like a man amongst boys.  His performance shows what can happen when opponents have to focus on Jayden Woods, who had 2.5 sacks of his own despite many double-teams.  The Gators allowed only 212 yards through 3 quarters before a sloppy finish allowed Auburn to rack up 160 yards and 2 TDs in the last 10 minutes.  That required the offense to continue to grind out some first downs and a late FG to keep the lead safe.  The secondary is still letting receivers get wide open too often, and the LBs have been mysteriously quiet.  DC Brad White really needs to simplify things and play a more aggressive style, because this is not sustainable against the better teams left on the schedule.

Special teams were solid again.  PK Patrick Durkin converted his 2 FG attempts and is still perfect on the season, and 7 of his 9 kickoffs were touchbacks.  Punter Alec Clark might be the loneliest man in college football, getting only his third punt attempt of the season late in the 4th quarter when the Gators were simply running time off the clock to preserve a 12-point lead.  VB3’s only punt return went for over 20 yards, but was called back due to a bad penalty away from the play.

I’ve listed a lot of issues for the staff and players to work on, but I haven’t lost sight of the fact that this game was a massive boost for the program and what Jon Sumrall is trying to build.  Auburn is not near the elite teams left on the schedule, but winning on the Plains, rolling up 44 points, and actually earning an important win gives the players confidence in both themselves and the coaching staff.  There are much bigger challenges ahead, but positive results like this can build momentum and give some juice to the team and Gator Nation.  Getting a winning feeling back and actually having fun playing the games has been missing since 2020.  Things start to get really interesting next week, with the Gators hosting Ole Miss In a battle of unbeatens with much of the nation watching – as it should be.

Auburn Preview

The  preliminaries are over, and sh*t is about to get real starting Saturday night at Auburn.  Despite two easy wins, Gator Nation and the rest of the country are waiting to see if Florida is really on a better trajectory under Jon Sumrall.  It may be too soon to tell no matter the outcome, but perception is reality – moreso now than ever.

Auburn’s offense is led by QB Byrum Brown, who transferred from USF to the Plains to follow head coach Alex Golesh.  Golesh brought in a total 13 players from USF – 11 on offense – with Brown and leading WR Keshaun Singleton being the most important.  The Tigers have incorporated the same fast-tempo USF offense, and Florida’s defense must be alert and ready.  Brown is more a running threat than a passing one, and DC Brad White has to know this and have his unit ready for designed runs and scramble plays.  Fortunately, the Gators have already experienced a similar offense against FAU, and many of the current defenders played USF in the Swamp last season, so they do have familiarity with the scheme and pace.  Brown is essentially a one-trick pony – get him off his first read, and he’ll start to scramble and run.  It’s incumbent on the front seven to get some pressure on Brown and force him into making reads and increasing the chances for a turnover.  Auburn has some decent RBs in Jeremiah Cobb and Omar Mabson, but neither is a breakaway threat.  In fact, Brown leads the team in carries, and Florida should be ready to spy him to prevent him extending drives.  Auburn’s WR corps isdecent, but lacks gamebreakers.  Singleton is by far brown’s favorite receiver, and the defense should mark him closely.  Florida’s biggest edge might be against the Tiger O-line.  It has 5 new starters made up of mostly transfers, and had some serious struggles in their first game against Baylor.  Florida has to be able to disrupt the blocking schemes and cause some havoc, or else it may be a long night.

Florida’s offense has not been tested yet, and Auburn has a strong front seven led by a solid LB corps featuring leading tackler Elijah Melendez.  I am sure that DC DJ Durkin will be heating up QB Aaron Philo and the O-line all game.  That, plus the crowd noise, makes this a tough challenge and a stark contrast to the first 2 games.  Philo must be smart, make quick and decisive reads and attack the Tiger secondary, which showed some weakness against Baylor.  He has all the weapons he needs in Jaden Baugh, VB3, and Dallas Wilson, but can the O-line give him the time to make the right reads and plays?  Auburn will be focused on challenging the LOS and stopping Baugh, so there will be opportunities for explosive plays in the passing game.  Florida has not thrown much to the running backs so far, but they are capable receivers and could be a way to offset pressure on Philo and to generate some big plays.  I am confident in OC Brad Faulkner and OC Coach Phil Trautwein to devise a winning game plan, but I’m not sure they have the horses on the O-line to execute it.  Faulkner will undoubtedly have plenty of formations and plays he hasn’t revealed on film the first two games.  That’s why they play the games, and we’ll see soon enough.  

Auburn’s special teams are solid with PK Alex McPherson and Rayshawn Pleasant on kickoff returns.  However, Florida comes in with a decided advantage in kicking experience with PK Patrick Durkin and P Alec Clark, and has the current co-SEC special teams player of the week in VB3 returning punts.  I feel good about this matchup, and in a close game with so many unknowns on both sides, this could be the difference in the outcome.

Auburn is a tough place to play and weird things happen to opponents there – many times due to extremely shady officiating – both on the field and in the replay booth.  Their fan base has been suffering for much of the past decade and is in a similar place as Florida’s – desperately hoping for a turnaround of fortune and some meaningful success.  Two similar teams, two new head coaches in their first big matchup at their new school, and the result could be a massive boost for the winner and an equally large setback for the loser for the rest of this season.  Any momentum that can be gained during the game will be especially big for two teams looking to turn their fortunes around and coming in with fragile psyches.  It will be a wild atmosphere on the Plains, and we’ll see quickly if Sumrall and his staff have the Gators focused and ready.  I picked Florida to win in my season preview and I’ll stick with that pick, but I expect a tough game that could go either way.  

Prediction:

Florida 23

Auburn 20

Campbell Review

As expected, Florida rolled to an easy 52-3 victory Saturday night.  The outcome was never in doubt, and the coaching staff was able to clear out the bench starting early in the 3rd quarter with a 45-3 lead.  While the score wasn’t close, it was obvious that the team’s focus wasn’t as sharp as last week, as I’m sure many were thinking ahead to this week’s huge game at Auburn.

The Gator offense looked sluggish at times, even while amassing over 500 yards of total offense.  The running game lacked the power I expected to see, with Jaden Baugh’s 75 yard TD run the only real highlight.  The best development was the continued sharp play of Aaron Philo in the passing game, as he threw for 242 yards and 2 TDs.  It was good to see WR Dallas Wilson utilized more often, as he racked up 104 yards and a TD.  The O-line was unimpressive in it’s run blocking, and that has to improve markedly for Florida to have any real chance at success going forward.  Losing the time of possession battle to the Camels was unacceptable.

The Gator defense was solid, allowing only 210 total yards and holding Campbell to 5-18 on 3rd down attempts.  The D-line looked better as they should have against an outmatched opponent, but there is still a lot of room for improvement in terms of getting push at the point of attack.  The secondary was unchallenged most of the night, but there still were a few instances of soft coverage on some intermediate and flat routes that have to get corrected.

The real highlights came from Florida’s special teams.  VB3 had 2 punt return TDs, matching Quez Green’s game against Kentucky in 1996.  Patrick Durkin made his only FG attempt and all 9 of his kickoffs were touchbacks.  Florida’s coverage units have not been tested at all in the first 2 games, and won’t have that luxury starting this week – I hope they are ready.

Overall, a good game, and importantly no significant injuries were sustained.  Coach Sumrall did not look happy after the game, and for good reason – the mental game was lacking the entire second half, and that can’t be allowed to become the norm.  The prelims are over – it’s time for the real season to begin.

Campbell Preview

Florida hosts it’s second straight home game to begin the 2026 season, welcoming the Campbell Camels.  Campbell is a small private Christian school in North Carolina, and are playing far above their class this week.  

The Gators should be able to trace out to a big lead in the 1st half, then empty the bench throughout the 2nd half to rest the starters while giving the backups and younger players some live reps.  The only question will be how soon the starters get pulled from the game.  I don’t expect anything schematically on either offense or defense other than the most basic and vanilla game plan.  The focus should be mostly on repetition, timing, and sound blocking and tackling.  The Gators will have an overwhelming advantage across the board in talent, depth, and speed.  Apologies for the short preview, but there really isn’t much to analyze or discuss in any detail – it’s that large of a mismatch. 

The only question for the Camels will be one hump, er…..lump, or two?  These Christians are definitely being thrown to the Lions, er…..Gators, and hopefully are getting a large paycheck for the pain that will be administered.  As always in a glorified scrimmage like this, my biggest wish is……NO INJURIES.  Things start to get very real for Florida next week.

Prediction:

Florida 59

Campbell 6

Florida Atlantic Review

Florida got off to a strong start for 2026 with a big win over FAU.  The Gators started fast, jumping to a 17-0 lead after the 1st quarter.  Then came some expected struggles on defense allowing FAU to close to 24-14, before stretching out the lead to 38-14 at the half.  Then the Gators pulled away in the 2nd half for the final score of 66-21.

Florida’s offense rolled up 624 yards – 281 rushing and 343 passing.  Jaden Baugh looked every bit an all-SEC candidate with 160 rushing yards and 3 TDs, Aaron Philo had 275 yards passing and 3 TDs, and VB3 led the WRs with 117 yards and 1 TD.  Philo looked fairly comfortable and in control, moving around in the pocket when necessary and making mostly accurate throws.  The O-line was what I was focused on, and they performed pretty well for the most part.  They committed only 1 penalty, kept the pocket clean for most of the game, and were able to dominate the FAU D-line – as they should.  The Owl D-line was able to generate some pressure occasionally, and when they blitzed it caused some protection issues for Florida.  I’m sure that will be a point of emphasis for Coach Trautwein all season – especially when the level of competition increases significantly.  The Gators were also 8-8 in the red zone and won the time of possession battle.  All of these developments were quite the contrast from the Napier Error, and a welcome sight – even given the limitations of the opponent.  The only real disappointment for the offense was seeing WR Eric Singleton limp off the field very early with an ankle injury, and he did not return.

The Gator defense was good overall, but had some rough patches and showed they still have plenty of areas for improvement.  The interior rush defense struggled at times, but some of that was due to focusing on containing the FAU quick–passing game more than defending the run.  The secondary had some good coverage moments and came up with 2 interceptions, but also was too soft in the flats and short zones.  I was a little disappointed that DC Brad White played his CBs so soft, allowing the Owls to generate 25 first downs and extend a few drives by converting many 3rd downs.  It may be too early to know if he was just being conservative, knowing the game was in hand, or if there are underlying coverage issues that may be exposed later.  Surprisingly, Florida did not force a single punt, with FAU drives ending either with a score, a turnover, or losing possession on downs.  That’s probably the largest disappointment from the defense.

There wasn’t much to glean from the Special Teams, as Florida never punted and was conservative on kickoff and punt returns.  New PK Patrick Durkin looked solid, making his only FG attempt of 53 yards (a career best) and with a touchback on 10 of his 11 kickoffs.

Major Props to S&C coach Rusty Whitt.  The offensive and defensive linemen looked leaner, faster, and in MUCH better shape than what’s been seen in Gainesville since the Urban Meyer years.  No slow, sloppy, fat guys getting pushed around and weakening in the second half.  Quite a welcome change, and it will pay benefits all season.

Overall, a solid game for Jon Sumrall’s Florida debut.  Most of the roster saw some playing time, the offense was explosive, the defense generated some turnovers, and the overall vibe around the team seems fun and exciting again.

Florida Atlantic Preview

The Jon Sumrall Era begins at the Swamp against FAU.  Gator Nation actually has some reason for excitement again and I expect a sellout crowd for the Labor Day weekend home opener.

The Owls will be especially hyped for this in-state matchup, and with a roster mostly composed of Florida-born players they will have extra motivation to take on the Gators.  Head Coach Zach Kittley is in his 2nd year at FAU, and is a young, offensive-minded coach who runs an Air Raid passing offense at breakneck speed.  Senior QB Caden Veltcamp threw for 3,641 yards and 24 TDs last season as the Owls led the nation in passing yards per game.  WR Easton Messner caught 104 passes for over 1,000 yards.  But there were serious problems – FAU’s running game was weak, the Owls led the nation with 20 interceptions and 29 turnovers overall, and had the worst turnover margin at the FBS level at -21.  Most of the passing game is predicated on quick throws in the flat and short zones to stress the defense across the entire field.  But it struggles with 3rd down conversions which, along with the struggles in the running game, really hurts their chances against better opponents.  I do expect FAU to have some success, especially early in the game until the Gator defense can acclimate to the speed of their offense.  Florida has enough speed on defense to be able to adapt, and hopefully enough depth to spell defenders when they tire.  The fast pace of the Owls does make it difficult to substitute players unless there is a stoppage in play or a penalty.  The revamped Florida secondary had some struggles in fall scrimmages, and this will be a stern test.  There will likely be some mixups in coverage early on, and it will be interesting to see if DC Brad White stays in mostly zone coverage or has to make adjustments if that isn’t working well.

The FAU defense was one of the worst against the run last season, and while most of their players returned, that might not be the best news.  They are led by undersized LB Leon Hart Jr., who looks more like a safety but has good instincts and speed.  Their pass rush is actually decent, led by DT CJ Doggette and edge rushers Deshawn Batiste and Wilky Denaud.  It will be no surprise to see Florida line up and play smash-mouth football with their running game, both to exploit the Owl defense and also keep the high-powered FAU passing game on the sideline.  Despite the questions for the Gator O-line heading into the season, Florida should be able to control the line of scrimmage.  If it doesn’t, then the worried whispers about the OL will start to turn into shouts.  I expect a heavy dose of Jaden Baugh and the other RBs, but this should also open up some shots downfield for the passing game – especially on early downs.  Aaron Philo won the QB competition in fall camp and was named the starter, and will have the attention of not just FAU but the fans in the stands and watching on TV.  Florida simply has too many elite skill players for FAU to contain, and I expect a good number of explosive plays.

This game will set the tone for the Gators in terms of getting out of the gate fast and building momentum for the challenges ahead.  Sumrall will have his players jacked up and ready to play.  I do expect some mistakes on both sides of the ball due to the new schemes and some new faces, but nothing that can’t be overcome without too much worry.  The score may stay fairly close into the 3rd quarter, but Florida should pull away with it’s advantages in talent and depth.  Gator Nation is ready to wash away the stench of the Billy Napier Error and move forward.

Prediction:

Florida 41

FAU 17

2026 Season Preview

It’s year 30 for the Visor and GatorFootball.com.  It’s been a wild ride, all the more due to the rollercoaster of the last 15 seasons.  Speaking of which……

Florida once again had to hit the reset button, firing Billy Napier after 4 years of incompetence and damage to the program and brand.  After an actual full-scale coaching search and multiple interviews (things that had to be forced upon AD Scott Stricklin, sadly), Jon Sumrall was hired from Tulane as the new head coach.  From the day he was introduced to Gator Nation, he has instilled more excitement into the fan base than seen in over a decade.  His coaching hires were made quickly and smartly, gathering actual professional and competent coaches that are familiar with SEC football and the southeast.  No more “coaches-in waiting” or buddies or yes-men or inexperienced Boy Blunders – the staff is now filled with experience and coaches that are aggressive on the recruiting trail.

The Gators are coming off their 4th losing season in the past 5 – a shocking and unnecessary fall from the elite circle of programs.  Napier and his band of fools were made a mockery by the college football world, and that makes Sumrall’s first 8 months of job performance all the more remarkable.  He’s already won the offseason – he was able to convince key players to return, he’s made himself publicly available to every media outlet, has bonded with his players, put together a Top 10 recruiting class for 2027, and has somehow engaged the fan base – things NEVER seen from Napier.  The entire staff knows the huge task ahead, but are attacking it wholeheartedly and with great energy.

Florida suffered some key losses due to graduation, portal departures, and the NFL Draft.  DT Caleb Banks, CB Devin Moore, C Jake Slaughter, OT Austin Barber, EDGE George Gumbs, PK Trey Smack, P Tommy Doman, QB DJ Lagway, WR Tre Wilson, RB Ja’Kobi Jackson, TE Hayden Hansen, S Jordan Castell, S Sharif Denson, DT Michael Boireau, and CB Aaron Gates all were either starters or key rotation pieces.  Florida again placed most of it’s financial resources towards retention of personnel ahead of going after even a handful of elite portal players – mostly due to the coaching change.  Importantly, the players retained include RB Jadan Baugh, EDGE Jayden Woods, and WR Dallas Wilson – potential all-SEC candidates and team leaders.

Coach Sumrall played in the SEC and has coached across the southeast.  He knows the expectations at Florida and, instead of talking about a “slow rebuild” or a “process”, has embraced those expectations and has publicly stated over and again he wants to win right now.  How and if/when that happens will be fascinating to watch. 

Offense

2025 was, to be kind, a complete crap fest on offense, mainly due to the incompetence of Napier, his inept staff, and his blind loyalty to an injured QB who played OK at best and often badly.  Now, the new staff has to try and pick up the broken pieces of what’s left over and somehow mold them into a SEC-worthy group in only a few months.  New OC Buster Faulkner and new Offensive Line coach Phil Trautwein have a huge task ahead of them.  At least their resumes to date are both excellent, so there’s hope that we will see an actual coherent scheme and smarter play in 2026.  Let’s break it down.

I’m starting with the offensive line because this unit has the most question marks and the farthest to come to allow Florida to be competitive on offense.  It’s gratifying to have a proven commodity like Coach Trautwein – a Gator alum and national champion under Urban Meyer – leading these guys.  Unfortunately, he was left with little to work with, due to a lack of talent and experience due to bad recruiting and coaching by Rob Sale, and losing C Jake Slaughter and OT Austin Barber to the NFL.  Fortunately, he was able to acquire some upgrades through the portal that will be relied upon right away.  At center, Harrison Moore came in from Georgia Tech, where he played for Faulkner and already knows the scheme and line calls.  This is hugely important to the success of the entire O-line.  Jason Zandamela will be his backup.  At guard, Trautwein has 3 guys with some experience to work with in Knijeah Harris, Roderick Kearney, and Bryce Lovett, who have all underachieved in their careers to date and have to step up their play.  TJ Shanahan portaled in from Penn St. where he played for Trautwein, and likely already has the coach’s trust.  The interior of the line should be solid, and will need to be, because the tackle position is a massive question mark and the single biggest worry on the entire roster.  The only players of note returning are Caden Jones (limited experience and not in the best shape previously) and Fletcher Westphal (highly-rated recruit who has been more a rumor than anything else after 3 tears of injuries and little impact when on the field).  Trautwein was able to get Eagan Boyer from Penn St. and Emeka Ugorji from Stanford through the portal, and both will immediately be in the rotation, despite limited experience.  After the fall scrimmages, Lovett may get first crack at LT.  Redshirt freshman TJ Dice could be in line for some reps if the others falter.  It’s a far from optimal situation, but if any coach can somehow mold these guys into something effective, it’s Trautwein.  He and Faulkner will have to coach their asses off this season to develop an offense that can compete against an SEC schedule.  The early returns in fall practice are good, as S&C Coach Rusty Whitt has whipped the holdovers into much better shape, and has all the OL looking leaner and quicker.  If this unit can just be “competent” relative to the rest of the SEC, I’ll take it.

Slightly less worrisome is the QB room.  The loss of DJ Lagway through the portal to Baylor has opened the starting QB position between holdover Tramell Jones and Georgia Tech portal transfer Aaron Philo.  This has been THE hot topic since spring practice, and the battle will continue into the fall and likely through September at least.  Philo has the advantage of knowledge of Faulkner’s system and more playing experience, while Jones has shown better physical traits and has picked up the offense quickly.  Even with Philo being named the game one starter, chances are that both get extended snaps through at least the first 2 games against weaker competition, and perhaps by then one will stand out and be named the starter before the trip to Auburn……or not.  Something tells me that we could see both playing in some capacity even into October for various reasons, including spotty play or injuries.  I hope not, but it’s possible.  True freshman Will Griffin is a highly-regarded recruit who has elite physical traits and has developed well so far, but obviously with no college experience he’ll be one of those “Break Glass in Case of Emergency” players unless the other QBs fail to perform.

Given the huge questions along the O-line and at QB, Florida is blessed with some of the best skill position talent in the country, starting at running back.  Jadan Baugh was priority one for Coach Sumrall to retain, and fortunately he was successful.  Baugh is an All-SEC and All-American candidate for 2026, and has everything you want – speed, strength, quick feet, and is an underrated receiver.  He will be the center of the offense and the focus of opposing defenses, which should help every other position group.  Baugh may also again be used on kickoff returns, although I’d prefer he not take on the additional risk.  Ja’Kobi Jackson was a solid #2 RB, but left for Ohio St.  The staff did a fine job of pivoting by getting Evan Pryor from Cincinnati and London Montgomery from East Carolina.  Both are experienced and also have some experience as kick returners, if needed.  Redshirt freshman Duke Clark flashed against Texas and F$U, and could be the surprise of the group.  One or all will need to spell Baugh and provide quality depth.  New coach Chris Foster should have some fun with this group.

The WR room could be one of the best in the country, and has generated the most buzz around the team.  New WR coach Marcus Davis is young, and will have a lot of pressure and expectations placed on him to maximize the talent at his disposal.  Dallas Wilson showed in just one game against Texas that he is elite, but injuries limited him to just parts of 3 other games.  He has the size, speed, and strength to be dominant, but must stay healthy and produce.  Vernell Brown III had his moments throughout 2025, but also was dinged up for much of the 2nd half of last season.  He’s quick and elusive, has experience in the return game if needed, and is a team leader.  The staff did really well in the portal, acquiring Eric Singleton from Auburn, Bailey Stockton from Georgia Tech, and Micah Mays from Wake Forest.  Singleton would have been a mid-round draft pick, but decided to reunite with his former OC in Faulkner to play in an offense that features his speed and open-field ability.  Stockton came to Florida with Faulkner and could be a sneaky good slot receiver that can extend drives and bail out the QBs when they are under duress.  Mays has good size and surprising speed, had an exceptional spring and Orange and Blue game, and is pushing for a starting role.  TJ Abrams is now in his 3rd year and needs to break out.  True freshmen Davian Groce and Justin Williams are excellent prospects, and one could earn some snaps this fall – right now Williams has looked the best in fall practice.  So much big-play potential in this group, but can the QBs exploit it (or be given enough time to by the O-line)?

The TE room has a lot of bodies but the most questions, and right now it would be a huge surprise if they were a major contributor to the offense.  Amir Jackson returns as the best pass catcher, but his blocking is suspect.  He is being flexed outside as a hybrid receiver in fall camp, and this may be Faulkner’s way of getting some production from him.  Luke Harpring is another GT portal acquisition that followed Faulkner to Florida.  He has familiarity with the offense, but is more of a receiving threat than a blocker.  Lacota Dippre portaled in from James Madison after their Cinderella Playoff run in 2025.  He appears to be the one person of the group that can contribute as a 3 down player – he is an accomplished blocker and a decent receiving threat with good size.  Another portal arrival is Evan Chieca, from small school New Haven.  He has good size and shown some promise as a receiver, but against far weaker competition.  Finally, true freshman Heze Kent was recruited as a TE even while playing at 310 lbs. in high school,  He actually showed good running ability at that weight, but has lost 30 pounds since arriving on campus and has shown some flashes in fall camp.  Overall it’s a group that shows more potential in the passing game, but how Faulkner eventually uses them and how much they actually contribute to a successful offense is a mystery.  New coach Evan McKissack has a huge task ahead of him to develop these guys and mold them into a functional unit.

Defense

Despite some improvement shown the last month of 2024, 2025 was another big disappointment for the defense.  There were some nice surprises, like the emergence of DE Jayden Woods and improved play from LBs Myles Graham and Aaron Chiles, but overall still too few impact players, too many missed tackles, poor safety play, and too many injuries to key players.  Similar to the offense, an almost entirely new coaching staff is in place.  The new Defensive Coordinator is Brad White, who came over from Kentucky.  His defenses were known for toughness and were zone-heavy in pass coverage, so it will be interesting to see if that toughness gets instilled quickly and if he continues to emphasize zone concepts in coverage or mixes things up more at Florida given the speedier athletes at his disposal.  The lone coaching holdover is DL Coach Gerald Chatman, which was a win for both Jon Sumrall and the Gators.  Given the questions on offense along the O-line and at QB, the defense may have to carry the load at least until October, if not most of 2026.

The defensive line has the potential to be one of the better units in the SEC, but it must stay healthier than in recent seasons.  The interior rotation at NG and Tackle will be led by redshirt juniors Brendan Bett and Jamari Lyons, along with sophomores Joseph Mbatchu and Jeramiah McCloud.  Bett was a pleasant surprise the last month of 2025, while the M&M boys were forced into the lineup as true freshmen due to injuries to others and played surprisingly well.  If Lyons is finally healthy, he can start to deliver on the promise he showed as a sophomore in 2024.  There are two intriguing portal transfers in DJ Kalu form Baylor and Emmanuel Oyebadejo from Jacksonville St.  Kalu could be a key depth piece in the middle, while EO is a freak athlete at 6’6″ and 300 lbs. that could be an impact player at either tackle or even DE on passing downs.  There is enough talent and depth for this group to win in the SEC.  The DE and JACK positions are led by Woods, but he has some legit help this season with the return of LJ McCray from injury, along with Kamran James and true freshman KJ Ford.  Woods is receiving preseason notice nationally, McCray looks stronger, faster, and healthier than at any time since his arrival in 2024, James is a solid contributor, and Ford has flashed so much promise in both spring and fall practices that he will be in the rotation right away.  Coach Chatman is a proven developer of talent, and this group could be especially nasty on passing downs, with so many guys able to slide between positions inside and outside.

The LB corps could be the best one in Gainesville since 2019, and will be relied upon to elevate the entire defense.  The aforementioned Graham and Chiles are the leaders going into their junior seasons.  Both have proven themselves in the SEC with the size and occasional coverage ability needed to be a big piece of an effective defense.  Myles Johnson has impressed in practice with his offseason development paired with elite speed and is pushing for more snaps. Senior Jaden Robinson and sophomore Ty Jackson should be solid rotation/depth pieces.  With the expected improved play from the D-line, this unit has the opportunity to really shine.  This group must stay healthy, as there is little experience behind the guys mentioned here.  New coaches Greg Gasparato and Gator alumnus Bam Hardmon have their work cut out for them teaching the new schemes and trying to develop depth.

The secondary is similar to the D-line in terms of potential combined with the hope for good health.  There were some good moments last season, but injuries gutted various positions and it was a very young and makeshift group by season’s end.  Those misfortunes did provide opportunities for some freshmen to get extended playing time the last month, and that could pay huge dividends in 2026.  New coaches Brandon Harris (Cornerbacks) and Chris Collins (Safeties) seem to have injected some real juice into their units, and they have some legit talent to work with.  At CB, there’s a mix of old and new.  Redshirt juniors Cormani McClain and Dijon Johnson are likely at the top of the depth chart.  Both are capable SEC-level players that have had their moments, but both have struggled with injuries and must take a leadership role.  They are followed closely by sophomores J’Vari Flowers and Gator legacy Ben Hanks III.  Both were forced into extended action the last 4 games of 2025 as true freshmen, and they embraced the challenge while showing real promise for the future.  Both showed rapid improvement despite some missed assignments (which were to be expected) and that experience has them right in the mix for big roles in the rotation.  Jordy Lowery portaled in from East Carolina and is the most experienced backup as a 5th-year senior.  The STAR position appears to be a battle between redshirt sophomore Kanye Clark (portal from UCLA) and JUCO transfer Elijah Owens (Mississippi Gulf Coast).  Clark has the edge in high-level experience, and has impressed in practice and in the S&C program.  Owens was familiar to coaches White and Collins when they recruited him while at Kentucky.  He has a larger physical presence, but lacks P4-level experience.  This position has question marks, and could see one or more of the CBs or safeties get involved based on early performance.  The safety position has been a real struggle at Florida since 2016, and perhaps there finally is enough talent and depth here to provide the last level of defense that’s been sorely lacking.  There appears to be a solid 4-man rotation among returning starter Bryce Thornton, portal transfers DJ Coleman (Baylor) and Cam Dooley (Kentucky), and sophomore Lagonza Hayward, another freshman thrown into the fire last season due to injuries to others.  There is enough experience, speed, and physicality here to appear SEC-ready.  Redshirt senior Alfonzo Allen Jr. was an afterthought for most of his career until being forced into duty the last half of 2025, and he had his moments as a fierce tackler and vocal leader, despite coverage limitations.  Sophomore Drake Stubbs played mostly on special teams last season, and is likely just a depth piece barring a rash of injuries to the others.  It will be very interesting to see if Coach White stays with his zone coverage scheme for the most part, especially with this being a new system for the secondary to learn.

Special Teams

No more “Gamechangers”, no more 12 men on the field, no more “2 players with identical numbers on the field”.  Despite the loss to the NFL of both PK Trey Smack and punter Tommy Doman, the outlook for special teams is promising.  Sumrall and new ST coach Johnathan Galante were able to get both PK Patrick Durkin and punter Alec Clark to transfer in from Tulane.  That familiarity should prove valuable, but both also had excellent seasons in 2025.

Galante’s main task is to unlock the return game by identifying the kickoff and punt returners – he has a plethora of elite athletic talent to choose from.  My hope is that Jaden Baugh isn’t used due to the unnecessary injury risk.  The talent pool of VB3, Singleton, Abrams, and Lloyd, along with true freshmen Groce and Williams, should be more than enough to provide the explosiveness missing more often than not in the return game for too many years.  There is now enough roster depth to ensure continued excellent kickoff and punt coverage units.

Coach Sumrall has injected himself into coaching the special teams, showing his acknowledgement of their importance and also getting the attention of the players.  It’s not just lip service – he’s running drills with the players and coaching them up.  It reminds me (again) of Urban Meyer’s days in Gainesville, when he prioritized elite special teams.

Schedule and Outlook

The 2026 schedule marks the start of the SEC’s new 9-game conference schedule, meaning the grind for any SEC team becomes even more challenging.  Every team’s schedule is hard – the only difference now is in just how hard based on the luck of your draw.  Florida comes off relatively better this season, getting 3 road games against opponents facing major coaching and/or roster turnover, and replacing Miami with a FCS opponent.  Jon Sumrall is a SEC alum and knows what to expect.  He also has a coaching staff that is actually professional and competent.  We should expect many fewer on-field gaffes along with actual in-game coaching adjustments.  Barring a rash of injuries, the schedule is as manageable as could be hoped, and far less daunting than recent seasons.

Florida Atlantic – Win

New coaching staff, better coaching staff, better defense, a functional Offensive Coordinator, real juice and excitement around the program again……all lead to a big win.  It may be a little spotty on offense at times as the new QBs get settled and the new offensive scheme is installed, but the Gators are much better than the in-state Owls – even if the FAU roster is filled with Florida kids that want to look good against Florida.  

Campbell – Win

The Camels  – one hump or two? – come to Gainesville for a big paycheck and an even bigger beatdown.  The team from a small private Christian university in North Carolina will be thrown to the proverbial lions, or in this case, Gators.  This is nothing but a glorified scrimmage, and the only things I’ll want to see are plenty of second- and third-team players getting snaps by the second half and – especially against this opponent – NO INJURIES.

@Auburn – Win

These programs have been similar in the wrong ways recently – poor coaching, poor records, exasperated fan bases.  The new head coaches have faced each other from their previous jobs.  Alex Golesh got the Auburn job primarily off of his win at Florida while at USF last season, but he won’t be facing a useless opposing head coach this time.  It’s the first road game and SEC game, and Jordan-Hare Stadium at night can be a tough place to play.  I’m banking on the new Gator staff plus, frankly, the better roster, to pull out a close win.  This game could be a huge momentum boost for the winner.

Mississippi – Loss

Even if Florida is coming off of a big road win and back home, the Rebels have a big edge at QB with Trinidad Chambliss and the experience of making it to the Playoff semifinals last season.  Yes, Lane Kiffin and his elite offensive playcalling are gone to LSU, but I’m just not sure if the Gators are ready to put together consecutive big efforts this early under the new regime.  Ole Miss also returns many starters and offensive skill players.  This game likely stays close until the end.  

@Missouri – Win

The Tigers have – sadly – been a thorn in the side for the Gators far too often since they joined the SEC.  Missouri lost a lot of talent to graduation and the NFL, and I believe will take a step back in 2026.  Columbia is a weird place to play, and many SEC teams have struggled there.  Here’s hoping that Coach Sumrall and his staff find a way to get the win.

South Carolina (Homecoming) – Win

The Gamecocks fell flat last season after coming into the season with high hopes – similar to what befell the Gators.  Coach Shane Beamer is on the hot seat, and will ride or die with QB LaNorris Sellers, who struggled badly last season and looks to prove the NFL talk wasn’t just hype.  It’s desperation time for Carolina, and this game could easily be decided late.  This is a huge game for Florida, coming before the toughest stretch of the schedule.

@Texas – Loss

The Longhorns were a major disappointment in 2025 despite winning 9 games.  They fell short of the Playoff and along the way suffered the indignity of losing to Billy Napier at the Swamp.  Coach Steve Sarkisian went all-in for 2026 with a lot of quality portal additions, and hopes that provides enough talent to surround overhyped QB Arch Manning and make a run at the National Championship. That’s the expectation in Austin this season, and, while I’m not sure they’ll succeed, they have enough firepower at home to win this game.  It will take a near-perfect game from the Gators along with winning the turnover battle to pull off an upset.

Bye Week

Georgia (Atlanta) – Loss

Florida travels to Atlanta this year to play the Bulldogs, while the Jacksonville Jaguars renovate their stadium.  You can easily cut-and-paste most of what I said about Texas and apply it to Georgia’s 2025 season, except the Bulldogs managed to sneak into the Playoff – just to lose in a regular-season rematch against Ole Miss.  UGA should again have a tough defense, but will need their QB play to improve to make another Playoff run.  I think the continuity of Kirby Smart’s coaching tenure and recruiting will be too much to overcome, even though there have been many surprises in this rivalry game.  The game being so close to the Georgia campus will have their fan base hyped.

Oklahoma – Loss

Florida will be looking to bounce back after two tough losses, and it won’t be easy facing the Sooners – even with the game at home.  Oklahoma made their own Playoff run in 2025 and are looking for more in 2026 after losing in the 1st round at home to Alabama.  They will be led by QB John Mateer, who played most of last season with an injured hand.  Head Coach Brent Venables is known as a defensive coach, and his defense could pose serious issues for the Gator offense – especially the O-line.  My guess is that this new road venue, along with the Swamp crowd, could be enough for Florida to pull off a close win, but the Gators come up just short in another tight game. 

@Kentucky – Win

Florida has stumbled too many times since 2021 against the Wildcats, and that trend needs to end now.  Kentucky fired Mark Stoops and brought in alleged offensive wizard Will Stein to revitalize the offense and the program.  He’s talking a big game about how he’s the man, and that won’t play well against SEC foes.  They suffered a huge roster turnover after last season, along with some key losses to the NFL.  Their program rebuild is bigger than Florida’s and likely takes much more time.  I’ll go with the Gators in this one even after playing such a tough stretch of games prior.

Vanderbilt – Win

Huge props to Coach Clark Lea for what he’s done in Nashville.  The Commodores are coming off of the best season in program history in 2025, winning 10 regular season games and actually mentioned in Playoff talk until November.  Enjoy it Vandy fans, because the fall back to earth is gonna be a long and painful one.  The loss of Heisman finalist QB Diego Pavia, a few NFL draft picks, and a large number of key players to graduation means it’s major rebuild time.  Florida should win this one comfortably, barring a huge mental letdown after the previous 4 tough games.

@Florida $tate – Win

The Seminoles are in a world of hurt right now, and I relish it.  Coach Mike Norvell is only around due to his prohibitive contract buyout, their recent recruiting classes have been terrible, the luck of winning due to portal acquisitions ran out 2 years ago, and their fan base is apoplectic.  Even by the end of another rugged SEC season, Florida should have more than enough in the tank to win in Taliban City again and potentially send Norvell packing.  The game will be on Friday afternoon instead of Saturday, which should allow for an even faster case of indigestion for F$U’s faithful the day after Thanksgiving.

Overall Record          8-4

SEC Record              5-4

“You can’t hide in the SEC, and any good (or bad) will be exposed quickly.  There is no more time for slow starts and glacial improvement – Florida must come out of the box hard and fast, and keep going.  The season could go a lot of ways, and we’re about to see where.  I believe winning 8 games would be a good enough season for Napier to keep his job, and even allow for continued recruiting success.  Getting to 9 or more wins would actually get the fan base excited again and make some ripples nationally.  We will see after 2025 is over if it’s all of Gator Nation pulling one way, or Gator Nation v. Napier Nation – again.”

That was my closing paragraph in last year’s season preview.  Pretty accurate, and that last sentence said it all.  At least Napier is long gone, and we can only hope Jon Sumrall, along with the new staff and roster makeover, can begin to remove the stench and stain left behind by that group of loser coaches.  The schedule should allow for a fast start and easing in the new offensive and defensive schemes.  The overall roster looks solid despite some weaker units, but that’s where the new staff can help cover for some shortcomings.  We should expect far fewer self-inflicted wounds due to bad coaching and sloppy play, and – quite frankly – a physically weaker and out of shape team.  These upgrades alone will give the team more opportunities to win.  

Sumrall said it in his opening press conference and repeatedly in the offseason – Florida already has everything it needs in place to become a winning program and Playoff contender.  Having played in the SEC, he knows exactly what to expect, and embraces the challenge.  He wants to win immediately – no soft talk about long-term building and a “process”.  That aggressiveness should transfer to his players, who have to be delighted at the new regime and the outlook their head coach espouses.

Sumrall reminds me very much of Urban Meyer when he first arrived at Florida.  The results may never be the same, but Sumrall “gets it”, and is smart enough to give the program every chance he can to return to it’s winning ways.

It’s that time again……Heeeeeeeeeeeere come the Gators!