Missouri Review / Louisiana-Lafayette Preview

I expected a letdown after the loss to Georgia, but that was a brutal exhibition on offense, despite the injuries.  Once again, the Gator defense was left on an island and had to bail out the Gators and get a closer-than-necessary win at home.

There’s a lot being said about the injuries on the O-Line and how an average unit to begin with is really hampered, but it’s the responsibility of the OC to coach around that, and Brent Pease’s playcalling for a second week in a row left something to be desired.  Driskel is still being asked to drop straight back instead of some designed rollouts, too many inside the tackle runs are being called against an 8-man front, and Hines and Burton remain painfully underutilized.

It’s hard to tell if Driskel has regressed the past month because of the poor blocking, but he continues to lock on to his primary receivers, and needs to be allowed to run more often.  You have to work with what you have, and the staff has to help the QB out.

The defense rose to the occasion despite a lot of players being weakened by the flu or nagging injuries.  The secondary did a great job of defending over 50 passes, holding Missouri to under 50% completions and getting 4 interceptions to hold the lead.  Fowler and Bullard played their best game at DE, and are a promising duo for the future.  Bostic continues to excel in pass coverage as well.

A lot of fans will now focus on the F$U game 3 weeks from now, and expect 2 easy wins at the Swamp before then.  Unfortunately, Louisiana-Lafayette looks like a decent opponent this week, and the Gators may not get the chance to rest and play backups as much as hoped for.  Pease has to diversify the run game to take the pressure off of the OL by getting to the edge, and getting the ball in Hines’ and Burton’s hands more often. I expect to see a lot more of the Wild Gator formation this week.  The defense will have to generate a few more 3-and-out possessions this week, and the injury to Sturgis hopefully doesn’t prove problematic if Phillips has to perform the placekicking duties this week.

Here’s hoping for a solid win without having to stay with the first-teamers late into the second half, but the way the injuries have piled up and ineffective offense has struggled, it could be another grind this week.  Get the win, and hope for no more injuries.

Prediction:  Florida 30    ULL 14

Georgia Review / Missouri Preview

It was a brutal performance by the Gator offense, leading to a heartbreaking loss to Georgia.  All of the hard work and effort to get to this point was thrown away by 6 turnovers, allowing the Puppies to come away with the edge in the SEC East race, and offsetting a gritty and tough showing by the Gator defense.  As Coach Muschamp reiterated after the game, this team has little room for error, and that was evidenced by a bitter defeat.

There is really no earth-shattering analysis necessary……6 turnovers killed Florida’s chances, especially the ones at the end of each half.  Driskel’s horrible decision to throw across his body into the end zone cost the Gators the lead going into halftime, and completely changed the complexion of the rest of the game.  Then, the last chance drive that looked so promising was wiped out by Reed’s ill-advised attempt to do too much, causing him to fumble and effectively ending the game.

All that being said, the offensive game plan was certainly that – offensive.  Very conservative, very predictable, especially given the evidence from the very first possession that the Gator O-Line was not at 100% health, and that Georgia was going to crowd the box the entire game.  The few times that Florida ran some screens and draws were effective, but were too little and eventually too late.  Coach Muschamp and Coach Pease have to come to an agreement and understanding on just how much the playbook needs to be opened up from the start of future games in order to help out the players.  It may be time to break tendencies on the early downs to help get the offense moving and restore some lost confidence.  By the way……Jarvis Jones should send 50% of his NFL 1st-round draft pick contract to the Gator OL after making him look like an All-American the past 2 years.

What else can be said about the Florida defense?  They were outstanding all afternoon, generating clutch turnovers in their own territory, and preventing scores after almost every Gator turnover.  They probably would say that their run defense was not as good as usual, but they continued to play hard and not get discouraged despite the struggles of the offense……a real tribute to the resolve of the players and the defensive coaches.

There is still one more SEC game to go, and the team has to regain it’s focus and somehow put aside the disappointment and perform well this week.  This year’s offense simply does not appear to be the kind to open up any kind of breathing room on it’s own, and a letdown against Missouri would be a big mistake, despite the Tigers’ struggles this year.  James Franklin can still lead an effective spread attack when he gets hot, and Missouri has a few playmakers on defense, led by DL Sheldon Richards, that could keep them close into the 4th quarter.

The Gator O-Line is banged up, and somehow Coach Davis has to patch together a unit to give Driskel some help, but Coach Pease can help as well by getting Driskel out of the pocket some, and using the screen and flat passes a little more often.

Even though it’s unlikely, there is still a slim hope that Georgia could slip up against Ole Miss (forget Auburn – they are horrible), and allow Florida to go to Atlanta.  There is still a lot left to play for, and now is not the time for self-pity.  Time to get back to efficient, tough football, getting another SEC win, and moving forward towards the end of the regular season.  The coaching staff has a new challenge this week getting the players ready after a loss, and have to make sure they secure a win.

I’m still concerned that the Gators, with the early kickoff of noon and the hangover of a tough loss, will come out flat and uninspired, and fall behind early (again).  I hope I’m proven wrong, but I have a bad feeling that things could get dicey before this one is over.

Prediction:  Florida 24    Missouri 17

 

Source:  www.mysanmarco.com

South Carolina Review / Georgia Preview

It’s not pretty, but it’s effective.  Florida completely shut down South Carolina with it’s usual tough defense and a great special teams effort, hammering the Lamecocks and ending any thoughts of a special season for the Pariah.  Coach Spurrier can go home after essentially quitting by benching his starting quarterback the entire second half, sending a message many Gators received even during his best years at Florida – that he’ll panic as soon as even a few small things go wrong, and he’s done after that.  Enjoy the Piedmont, loser.

The Gator offense struggled mightily to generate any running game in the first half, as Carolina sold out against the run.  This staff, however, doesn’t panic, and bided it’s time and allowed the defense and special teams to play opportunistic football to set up 3 easy scores.  Despite not being able to contain Jadaveon Clowney, Driskel found enough time to complete 3 clutch TD passes to cash in for Florida, and cash out the Lamecocks.  The O-Line performance was only adequate at best, partly due to guys playing through injuries, but there are still some troubling blown assignments allowing rushers to sometimes come unblocked into the backfield.  There’s still work to be done and improvement to be made for Coach Davis and this unit.

The Gator defense was sensational – again – not allowing Carolina any sustained drives (except with a LOT of help from the referees), and stuffed the running game.  Spurrier simply doesn’t have a quality QB that can pass consistently and effectively against quality defenses, and their WR corps does not scare anyone.  Floyd anchored the D-Line, Bostic and Jenkins played well in coverage at LB, and the secondary continued to make plays and, in this case, perhaps the biggest play of the game, Purifoy’s fumble-inducing tackle of Shaw on the first play of the game.  He is a stud on special teams, and his play at CB has improved significantly as the season has progressed.

Kyle Christy has to be the all-SEC punter at this point, and could be 1st team A-A if he continues his tremendous punting.  Coach Muschamp trusts him to flip the filed even when the offense is struggling – the best compliment he could receive.  Sturgis continues to excel as the PK, and the coverage units have been dynamite all year.  The 2 straight fumbles they caused in the second quarter essentially won the game.

Now it’s on to Jacksonville, and to a SEC East title game against the Puppies.  Even with zero running game and crappy QB play last season, Florida still was in position to win, and the staff will have a solid plan ready to prevent a repeat of that debacle.

Georgia comes in as it’s usual enigmatic self.  Great numbers, but a complete implosion in it’s only big game to date, at Carolina.  Their SEC schedule is ridiculously weak, and is the only real reason they have a chance to win the East……but it is what it is, and they can back in to a title with one decent performance.

I thought Carolina would be the most balanced opponent for the Florida to date, but it appears as if the Puppies have enough talent at the skill positions to make this the biggest challenge of the season for the Gator defense.  Florida needs to stick to following it’s coaching and simply making one play after the next, and not let the hype and excitement of the stakes of this game take their minds off the task at hand.  They will be challenged for 60 minutes, and need to keep their focus and not let emotions erase all the good work to date.

Georgia has shown an effective running game with its 2 freshmen RBs, Keith Marshall and Todd Gurley, but they seem to have stalled a little the past 2 games, and the Gator D-Line should have the edge over the Puppy O-Line.  It will be interesting to see how Aaron Murray performs, especially if Florida can force the Puppies into a passing game……we’ll see if he can withstand the pressure, as it took not 1, but 2 garbage 4th down TD throws to beat the Gators last year.  Florida’s CBs will still be challenged by a solid group of WRs, despite Michael Bennett being lost for the season to a knee injury.  Tavarres King, Malcolm Mitchell, and Marlin Brown have good speed, and I expect Georgia to go deep more often that usual to try and get the big plays instead of trying to grind out long drives against a tough Gator defense.

The Florida offense was bailed out against Carolina, and must find a way to get started early.  There’s a lot on the line, and will Coach Pease break tendency and throw often on first down, or will the offense stay with it’s conservative play even if they fall behind?  The O-Line has to gut out another game at less than 100% health, and the early load Gillislee has had to carry seems to be taking it’s toll a little.  However, I love the fact that there are plays that haven’t been seen all season that will probably be unveiled this week, as evidenced by the jailbreak middle screen to Reed, and the reverse handoff and sweep out of the Wild Gator formation.

Georgia still has enough quality playmakers in defense to make this difficult challenge.  John Jenkins is a load at NT, Jarvis Jones and Alec Ogletree are solid LBs. and Bacarri Rambo is an experienced leader at safety.  Can Florida continue to do what it’s done all year and impose it’s will on opposing defenses in the second half?  The Gators need to be close if they don’t have the lead in the second half, because they are simply not built to throw the ball in a come-from-behind mode, and have not really been asked to go no-huddle to hurry to get a late score.

It’s been a great run so far, but now there’s a ton of pressure with a title within reach.  Florida has been given only grudging praise due to the style of play, and will the players be too anxious to prove themselves now and make uncharacteristic mistakes?  In a perfect world (which doesn’t exist in SEC football), if Florida performs at the level it has so far, it probably has enough to get the win.  Coach Muschamp and the entire staff have done a tremendous job of developing these players and making in-game adjustments, but poor execution and silly mistakes can undo all the good work.

It will be a tense, emotional atmosphere Saturday, and another challenge for a team that has risen to the occasion all season.  I might be ready to finally drink the kool-aid, but just to be disappointed?

Prediction:  Florida 24    Georgia 23

Vanderbilt Review / S. Carolina Preview

A typically desultory effort against Vanderbilt led to a typically closer-than-necessary game. Penalties, dropped passes, some shoddy tackling, and a general lack of emotion kept this game close into the 4th quarter until Driskel’s 70-yard TD run closed down Music City for another year.

It was obvious that the injuries on the O-Line that had Harrison and Wilson out partly led to a painfully conservative attack, but the lack of any real downfield attempts against an outmanned team is cause for concern going forward. Driskel was lucky 2 of his passes weren’t intercepted, as he stared down a few receivers.

The performance of the run defense was troubling as well. Even with Easley being held out, this group normally dominates a team like Vandy. But the lack of emotion combined with what appeared to be a lot of thoughts already looking ahead to S. Carolina led to the worst second-half performance of the season to date. I’m going to attribute this effort to the usual level of competition provided by the Commodores and the 2 big games coming up, but it’s time to ramp up the intensity again. The run defense was sloppy and uninspired, and there were some misjudged pass plays – Matt Elam in the end zone on Vandy’s first TD in particular, that were surprising. Again, it looked like the players were doing just enough to get the win, which will get you in trouble on the road in SEC.

Now it’s on to the biggest game of the season for Florida, with S. Carolina coming to the Swamp coming off of a tough loss at LSU. The Gamecocks have to win to stay alive in the East race, while the Gators can all but wrap up the division with a win. This is a difficult matchup for the Gators, as Carolina presents the best and most balanced offense they have faced.

The Florida defense won’t be able to load up against the run like they did against LSU, as QB Conner Shaw is a dangerous runner to go along with Marcus Lattimore. The Gamecock passing game isn’t terribly scary, but Shaw’s mobility seems to help get his receivers open at critical times. Ace Sanders is the deep threat, as well as a dangerous kick returner, as has to be contained. The Carolina O-Line has struggled at times this year, including last week, and if the Gators play at the level they exhibited against LSU, they could disrupt things enough to keep the score down and help a still-developing Gator offense.

I don’t believe the Florida passing game (or lack thereof) can be hidden any longer. It’s time to spread the ball to not just the TEs and RBs, but the WRs as well……and not just 3-5 yard throws. This Gamecock defense seems to be at or near the level of LSU’s this year, and I’m not expecting them to only score 6 points. Perhaps there are some formations and plays that Brent Pease has saved up to now, but the lack of balance in the Gator offense will catch up to them……there simply have to plays made downfield to loosen things up.

The injuries on the O-Line could doom the offense, because they rely first and foremost on a power running game, and will stick with it until the situation dictates otherwise……and that could happen this week.

Once again, the Pariah comes back to Gainesville to try and screw over his alma mater and former employer.  I’ll never understand why so many Gator fans give this guy a free pass – “if the Gators don’t win, then I’m glad it’s Spurrier”.  Forget that – I’m a Gator first, and hope Florida kicks his ass out of the Swamp.  This is probably his best chance to win the SEC, and he’s really showing the strain after the LSU loss, calling out his QB and having team meetings.

Again, I’m going in to this game thinking that the lack of a balanced offense will lead to a Gator defeat, and Carolina has enough balance on offense and a solid enough defense to win.  Driskel still has a lot of room for further development in the passing game, and until the WRs help stretch the field, it’s gonna come back to bite the Florida sometime against a quality opponent.

Prediction: S. Carolina 23    Florida 17

LSU Review / Vanderbilt Preview

Florida showed it is on the path back to competitiveness at the elite level with a hard-fought win at the Swamp against a very tough LSU team.  The Gators atoned for a weak effort last year against the Tigers, and continue to put behind them the disappointment of the previous 2 seasons.

The Gator defense carried the day, keeping the Tigers out of the end zone in the first half while the offense struggled to get untracked and out of it’s own way, then slamming the door once Florida finally took the lead late in the 3rd quarter.  The front seven were called out most of last season and, while showing improvement in September, finally stood up and punched back against an excellent running team.  Solid tackling, sound gap control, and getting a stalemate or better at the LOS most of the game made LSU rely on an unproven QB, and that was the difference in the game.  Lerentee McCray,  Sharrif Floyd, and Jon Bostic are all playing the best football of their careers.  The secondary played physical coverage, and Matt Elam made a statement to be all-SEC or better with an outstanding performance, making plays and physical tackles all over the field along with the play of the game, stripping Odell Beckham after a long reception, ending LSU’s only real threat in the second half.  Jaylen Watkins continues to come on as a playmaker with another interception.

Don’t forget the fine play of Florida’s special teams.  Kyle Christy continues to impress with solid punting, and the coverage units have been excellent all season.  Louichez Purifoy is a standout gunner, and Coach Muschamp singled him out as one of the best he’s ever coached.  While Caleb Sturgis did not get the chance to try a FG due to a turnover and some poor pass blocking in LSU territory, he continues to kick off per the coaches strategy, either getting touchbacks or high kicks to the goal line allowing the coverage unit to hold opponents inside the 25-yard line.

The offense cam alive in the second half playing the most basic and physical running game since at least 2009.  Credit goes to the staff for staying patient, riding a great defense until the O-Line started to assert itself and soften up perhaps the best D-Line in college football.  The improvement in strength and stamina is evident, and credit goes to new S&C coach Jeff Dillman.  Credit also goes to OC Brent Pease and OL coach Tim Davis, who devised a great strategy of adding extra tackles  and running a lot of counter plays in the second half, allowing Mike Gillislee to announce himself on the national stage as a quality RB……quite a difference from never getting a full chance from either of his previous OCs – the Dazzler and the Cheeseburger.

As I said after the Kentucky game, fans need to be patient with Jeff Driskel as the level of competition rises.  He has a long way to go to be proficient in the passing game, but has the physical tools to still make clutch plays in the running game to keep some drives alive.  He did take a step back by taking some unnecessary sacks and giving up a fumble deep in Gator territory late in the first half that could have been devastating.  But the defense bailed him out and he played smart the rest of the way.

It’s obvious that this year’s offense will continue to rely on a power running game, but I am disappointed by the lack of throws to Jordan Reed, and even short routes to the WRs.  Unless this part of the attack improves, there will be some tough games ahead against some offenses that have the talent to score enough points to beat Florida.

Now it’s on the road to Nashville to play Vanderbilt, who is coming off of a nice road win at Missouri.  This has “trap game” written all over it, as the team will hear all the accolades all week from the fans and media.  The coaching staff, along with the handful of upperclass leaders, have to ground the team and keep them focused on this game.  This team has done nothing impressive since 2009, and they will lose a lot of the positive momentum built so far this year if they lay an egg.

James Franklin continues to do good work as Vandy’s head coach, and their defense is considerably improved.  Until the Gator offense shows up in the first half, it’s possible this could be another second-half grind.  Of course, it would be nice to see the team come out loose and take it to the Commodores early, allowing a lot of backups to get some snaps in the second half and staying healthy for 2 huge games to come.

Until I see the offense open up and get an early lead, though, I have to expect a closer-than-wanted game into the second half.

Prediction:  Florida 31    Vanderbilt 16

 

 

 

LSU Preview

It’s time for Florida to re-emerge on the national scene, or fade away under the pressure of a tough October that contains 3 games out of 4 against Top 10 teams, starting with the LSU Tigers.

LSU is in a funk right now, struggling to beat a middling Auburn team, and simply not putting weaker teams away early.  I honestly believe they have been sleepwalking a bit, waiting for a real team to show up on their schedule to get their full attention……and the Gators will get it.

The Tiger offense still centers around a powerful running game, with a rotation of solid, big backs, led by Spencer Ware, Kenny Hilliard, and Alfred Blue, and an experienced O-Line.  Their running game still looks formidable, even when teams have been stacked up to stop it and daring their new QB, Zach Mettenberger, to beat them.  He has not lived up to his billing so far, but Florida has had a history of making struggling QBs look like stars – that cannot happen this week.  The Tigers have playmakers at WR with Odell Beckham and Russell Shepard, and an excellent TE in Chase Clement.  I get the feeling that LSU may go for some early deep throws to try and surprise the Gator defense and get an early lead, before settling into their comfort zone and running the ball.

The Gator defense has a huge challenge ahead.  The run defense has not been terribly impressive yet, and LSU will not panic and abandon the run, even if behind by a score into the 4th quarter.  The front seven needs to prevent the long, time-consuming drives that will wear them down going into the second half.  It’s all hands on deck in trying to stop the Tigers and give a still-learning Florida offense enough chances to win the game.  Coach Quinn has been rotating his DL to keep them fresh for the second half, and I expect the same.  The DT rotation of Omar Hunter, Sharrif Floyd, and Tre Orr have to hold the point of attack.  Unfortunately, 2 of the DEs in the rotation are true freshmen, and Jonathan Bullard and Dante Fowler will have a rough go of it Saturday.  Dominique Easley returns, but he needs help.  I am not confident at all that they can hold up for an extended period.  The LB corps will have to tackle better than they have in 2 years.  It’s time for Jon Bostic to play a disciplined game and get himself into the correct gaps to make plays, while Michael Taylor, Tank Morrison, and the rest of the unit to make a stand.  The secondary will be asked to play a lot of man defense, especially if the safeties are needed to slow down the Tiger running attack.  I think there is enough ability between Marcus Roberson and Jaylen Watkins to hold their own against the LSU WRs, so Matt Elam can be used in a variety of ways to try and make some big plays at safety.

I’m sure Brent Pease has a ton of special plays he can call this week on offense to try and trick LSU……but in a way, I hope he keeps it simple so the Gators play “fast” and aren’t trying to think their way through too much new stuff to be effective.  Jeff Driskel has improved each week, and is getting a lot of press, but let’s be honest – he has a long way to go to prove he is elite, and can still improve quite a bit in his throwing.  He missed at least 2 TDs against Kentucky, and was late and high often in the first half.  I’m sure the staff is making him aware of this, while coaching him up for an extremely tough run coming up.

Coach Muschamp has preached a strong running game all season, but will he be stubborn if the running game gets stuffed early, which is entirely possible?  The O-Line hasn’t faced anything close to the caliber of the Tiger D-Line, and there is no proven RB behind Mike Gillislee.  It may take a reversal of tendencies – throwing more on first down, working the WRs in open spots (even if they are short throws), and springing some new formations to get the ball to Jordan Reed and Trey Burton where they can make a few big plays.

The LSU defense is one of the nation’s elite, and could make it a long afternoon for a Gator offense that still doesn’t know how good it is, or has proven itself against a defense of this caliber.  Sam Montgomery, Anthony Johnson, and Barkevious Mingo lead a terrific D-Line.  The secondary, despite the loss of Tyrann Mathieu, is a solid unit that makes plays.  Eric Reid and Craig Loston are one of the best safety duos in the country, but their CBs are inexperienced, and along with the LBs, can be exploited……if the Gator O-Line can protect Driskel and open some holes for the running game……a tough task.

Even with the perceived struggles of the LSU offense recently, I think they are going to be ready to perform well at the Swamp this Saturday.  Florida seems to be mentally and physically tougher than either of the 2010 or 2011 teams, and has the embarrassment of last year’s beatdown in Death Valley as motivation.  In the end, I see the experience of a solid running game and a seasoned defense for the Tigers being the difference in what could be a real classic.

Prediction  – LSU 23    Florida 17

Kentucky Review

Lipstick on a Pig (or Mildcat)

That was one of the worst efforts I’ve seen at the Swamp from an SEC opponent, as Kentucky rolled over early and handed Florida a sloppy shutout win.

Yeah, their starting QB was out, but they knew that all week during practice, and that was the best they could offer on offense?  Pathetic.  Morgan Newton was basically told not to pass after his 3rd pick in the first half, before they finally surrendered and brought in a true freshman to play the 4th quarter.

Florida’s defense didn’t have to do anything but play simple schemes and wait for turnovers.  However, the run defense still remains a serious concern.  Texas A&M had a big day through 3 quarters until their freshman QB was asked to try and come from behind.  Tennessee was having some success until they panicked in the 4th quarter, and even though the Mildcats were mostly a passing team on film, allowing so many yards on draws and to the edges is simply not good enough.  Coach Muschamp said as much at halftime, and it’s time to put up or shut up in October, starting with LSU.

There’s a lot of praise going around for Jeff Driskel right now, and most of it is warranted.  But if you look a little closer at the first half again, he missed a LOT of open receivers due to bad timing (very late delivering the ball), and winding up and throwing high, costing the Gators 2 potential touchdowns.  The fans need to patient as he has his ups and downs in October as the competition becomes legitimate, because he’s going to have some struggles.

The best thing about this game was that no serious injuries were incurred.  Trey Burton could sit out due to back spasms, Dominique Easley could rest his knee, and Mike Gillislee could play sparingly so he didn’t re-aggravate his groin injury.  Lots of guys saw some action just in case they are needed later in the season, and many starters could get rotated out as the game got out of hand.

Time to buckle the chinstraps, because it’s time for big-boy football in October.  I’ll be back next week with a preview of the LSU game.

Go Gators!

Tennessee Review / Kentucky Preview

Still on Top at Rocky Top

All that talk…….all that excitement……all those toothless fans……and still another beatdown administered by Florida to Tennessee.

The Vols certainly made it easy for the Gator coaching staff to motivate the players, trash-talking all week about everything they were going to do to the Gators, and there was even a debate as to whether to rush the field.  Maybe one of their fans could have helped catch Trey Burton or Frankie Hammond as they scorched the field for the tying score and the backbreaker.  Stupid is as stupid does, as another case of Volsheimers is documented for the record.

It looks like Jeff Driskel is learning with every game, and that is an encouraging sign going forward.  He kept his cool in the pocket, ran only when necessary (but with great effect), but is starting to learn that using his mobility can help in the passing game as well.  After a sluggish start, the O-Line started to wear down the Tennessee front seven, and the big plays came in bunches in the second half.  Still some missed assignments and some really dumb penalties (Xavier Nixon), but this group is starting to gel, and it’s fun to watch.  Still, a lot of improvement is needed as the tough competition is coming up in October.

Mike Gillislee continues to show toughness by playing through a groin injury, but is still producing at a high level, and leads the SEC in rushing.  The matchup problems caused by Jordan Reed and Trey Burton are being exploited by Brent Pease, who is showing Florida fans what a real OC does, after the disasters known as the Dazzler and the Cheeseburger.  Now we are seeing glimpses of what the WR corps can start to contribute, with Hammond and Dunbar beginning to get some looks.  The production at the WR position is still the weakness of the offense, and must improve as better defenses to come will really squeeze the box and force Driskel to make plays downfield.  Can Coach Pease find a way to unleash the athletic ability of Andre Debose, who is starting to appear on milk cartons as the missing WR?

Another slow start for the Gator defense, as they allowed that punk Tyler Bray to make some big plays down the field throughout the first half, and this group is still giving up way too many 3rd-and-long conversions.  A new threat was unveiled, as Lerentee McCray was in beast mode all night – he may very well be showing up on NFL draft boards now, and not in the late rounds.  It was a solid if unspectacular performance by the rest of the D-Line rotation, as they started to get hits on Bray in the second half and apply enough pressure to make him inaccurate.

The performance by the LB corps was OK, as they tackled well in space and did a decent job of pass coverage on the short throws.  Still, too many unfilled holes against the run, and this has to improve.  Jon Bostic was flying from sideline to sideline making plays, and Tank Morrison continues to show signs he can be an future all-SEC level player.  The rest of the group needs to contribute more big plays, though.

The secondary had it’s struggles, but you have to give credit to the QB, WRs and TE they were facing – possibly the best they will face in the SEC all season.  To their credit the CBs played physical and did not back down even after giving up some big plays.  Marcus Roberson and Jaylen Watkins had their hands full, but battled.  Louchiez Purifoy is still learning, and gets beat too often. Matt Elam, Pop Saunders, and Josh Evans were in position most of the game at safety, not allowing the home run that could have turned momentum strictly Tennessee’s way.

Finally, the special teams were exactly that – another great game from Kyle Christy, Caleb Sturgis is the best PK in the SEC, and the coverage teams were excellent.  The only problem is the continued timidity of the punt returners.  Too many times they have allowed short kicks to roll for an additional 10-20 yards, giving a still-growing offense that much harder a task.  Maybe Will Muschamp is still gun shy after the disaster that was 2011, but he has a lot of gifted runners available to make things happen.

Next up is Kentucky, as Florida seeks it’s 26th straight victory against them.  The Mildcats are coming off an embarrassing home loss to Western Kentucky, and can’t be a good frame of mind heading to the Swamp.

The offense has to remain focused on solid execution……they are simply not good enough yet to look past an SEC opponent.  It’s time for some backups to contribute this week at RB and WR.  Perhaps Jacoby Brissett can get some snaps at QB if things go well through 3 quarters.  The defense should be too much for Kentucky’s offense to have consistent success against.  Jumping on the Mildcats from the start and getting them in an early hole would be the best scenario.  I need to see continued development from the backups at LB and DB.

I hope that many key players can get some rest this week.  In a perfect world, Gillislee and Dominique Easley would not play at all, but maybe the staff wants them to get enough snaps to stay sharp.  This could be a great opportunity to develop some more depth before the bigger games come along.

It will be interesting to see how the Florida players react to the early success so far.  Will they stay focused on the current opponent, or have another sloppy performance at home, looking ahead to October?  That’s the challenge facing the Gator coaching staff – it would be nice to see some maturity in preparations this week by the players, and a professional effort on Saturday.  However, there are still many young and/or inexperienced players at many critical positions, and it wouldn’t surprise me to see a middling affort……but I’d like to be pleasantly surprised.

Prediction:  Florida 34    Kentucky 13

Texas A&M Review / Tennessee Preview

A Tale of Two Halves

There were a lot of Gator fans out on the ledge after the 1st half ended in Aggieland.  A shockingly poor defensive effort against a freshman QB playing his first game had many shaking their heads in disbelief, and perhaps the entire season was hanging in the balance.  However, cooler heads prevailed, with the coaching staff finally getting through to the defenders to play their assignments and how they had been coached, and suddenly the hammer fell on Texas A&M to the tune of 65 yards and zero points in the 2nd half.

College Station is one of the unique places in college football, with all the Aggie traditions on display – the yell leaders, the corps of cadets and cadet band, and a fan base that’s one of the most loyal in the country.  Florida was able to overcome all of that and a poor first half, as the offense(!) actually held things together and put together two solid drives in the second half to get a much-needed win.

A lot of the discussion and analysis will be centered on the 8 sacks allowed, but only a few of those were poor protection – Jeff Driskel will learn to throw the ball away and start to check down to his secondary receivers as he gains experience.  Despite these bad plays, he exhibited a strong arm, some nice touch, and made some clutch plays with his legs.

Mike Gillislee played tough despite a strained groin, scoring twice and getting some tough yards in the red zone that simply weren’t seen the past 2 years at RB.  Jordan Reed is a big factor at TE, and the WRs started to make some plays downfield just often enough to keep some drives going.  The O-Line is still suffering from some blown protections, and losing Chaz Green at RT for most of the second half hurt.  But the unit stuck together and made the difference in the last 20 minutes.

This was a huge confidence-builder for the team, and gives them momentum heading into another important road game at Tennessee.

Volsheimers is in full effect again, as the Tennessee players are all talking a big game and saying “it’s their time”.  Tyler Bray says he’s ready to pick apart the Gator defense, and their defenders for some reason are bragging on themselves……I guess that comes from the confidence gained from beating two cupcakes so far this year, and after such a fine performance in the SEC the past 2 seasons.  The Vols still have no real running game, their O-Line is still suspect, and almost their entire defense is untested or inexperienced.  I’m sure the Gator coaching staff won’t have to do too much motivating on their own – they’ll let the Volunteers do that job for them.

There were a lot of injuries suffered against Texas A&M – the worst being the broken thumb for LB Jelani Jenkins (out 2-4 weeks) and the broken bone in the foot of CB Cody Riggs (out 4-6 weeks).  Tank Morrison and Jaylen Watkins, respectively, get their turn at bat, in Will Muschamp’s “man down, man up” philosophy.  Tennessee’s passing attack is very different from what Florida has faced so far, and it’s time for the D-Line and LBs to make some big plays and punch Bray in the mouth a few times.  The Vol WRs are a good unit, and they will make some plays, though.

One of the best ways to keep Tennessee’s passing game off the field is simple – control the clock on offense with a solid running game and timely completions by Driskel.  If Gillislee is hobbled or unable to play, Coach Pease will have to find a way to get some production out of Brown, Jones, and Hines.  It may not be pretty, but I expect a large dose of running plays, even if they aren’t getting any big gains.  I still think the passing game will be mostly of the short, safe throw variety to get to manageable down and distance on 2nd and 3rd down……but I believe it’s time to see the deep ball, and Andre Debose or someone else to get their chance to make a big play.  The Gator O-Line should be able to more than hold it’s own against the Vol front seven.

It’s all hands on deck for a second consecutive SEC opponent on the road trying to make a statement.  It’s going to be a tough haul, as the 2012 Gators still are searching for a complete identity, but the confidence gained from last week should be a huge boost.  I expect Tennessee to come out with guns blazing, and wouldn’t be surprised to see Florida down in the first half again…….but with the experience now to come back……and the experience of whipping the Volunteers 7 straight times.

Prediction – Florida 27    Tennessee 23

 

Bowling Green Review/Texas A&M Preview

You can tell the football season has begun, as the angst from the fans is already in full effect.  Based on the performance by the Gators against the Falcons, some of it is warranted.

The offense was extremely vanilla as expected, with emphasis on the running game despite 8- and 9-man fronts, to give Texas A&M as little as possible to scout on film.  Even so, there were a lot of missed assignments by the O-Line, especially in short-yardage situations, that were inexcusable from a veteran line.  Mike Gillislee looks like a solid no. 1 at RB, but there is no established backup or rotation yet.

The passing game was painful to watch, with dropped passes by the WRs and both missed reads and bad throws by both QBs.

Based on getting the majority of the snaps from the 2nd quarter on, Jeff Driskel appears to be the starter going into College Station next week.  He is definitely the better runner between he and Brissett, and I’m hopeful the staff allows him to utilize this against the Aggies, as he’s going to be pressured all afternoon.  It was interesting to see that Brissett had minimal snaps and passing attempts before sitting, leading me to believe that Coach Pease had made some decisions even before fall practice had ended.

The WR performance is hard to gauge right now with the inefficient QB play, but there were drops and missed assignments that were obvious.  This group has to establish some consistency and a vertical threat the next 2 weeks.  I’m sure the conservative game plan had something to do with it……then again, maybe I’m not so sure.

The TEs will be relied upon heavily it appears early this season while the QB play (hopefully) improves.  Reed and Burton (out of the H-Back position) were open all game, and are playmakers that the QBs have to take advantage of until they are more comfortable in the new offense and can establish a downfield passing threat to back defenses off of the LOS.

What unexpectedly has me worried is the so-so performance of the defense.  Perhaps the preseason hype for this unit was off base, as the D-Line failed to get consistent penetration most of the game, and the LBs looked painfully reminiscent of last year’s group in its inability to fill the gaps against a pretty simple run scheme.  The DE play will again struggle this season, but there is hope for the future in the performance of Dante Fowler and Jonathan Bullard, who will get on-the-job training against the SEC as true freshmen.

The secondary’s pass coverage was pretty good, but the quick slants were not adjusted to most of the game, and the tackling was horrendous.  Too much reaching and grabbing, and not enough form tackling……worse than anything I saw in 2011.  Some young guys like Jaylen Watkins and Jabari Gorman got extended snaps, because Louchiez Purifoy was beaten all day in coverage and couldn’t tackle anyone.  Even Matt Elam played a little lazy – hopefully he’s back to last season’s level of play as the competition ramps up, but that was a disappointing effort from one of the team leaders.

Someone in the DT rotation has to step up his play to match that of Sharrif Floyd.  Between Hunter, Orr, and Jacobs, there should be enough ability to play off the attention Floyd will get and to start making plays of their own consistently.  Everyone got a huge scare when Easley went down with a tweak to his surgically-repaired knee.  I still maintain he has been rushed back too soon, and I’m concerned he will not get back to his former level of play until 2013……unless he gets injured again first.  His former aggressiveness could be missed all season.

Now it’s on to the start of the SEC season, as Florida travels to Texas A&M with the pressure of not just an inconsistent offense to improve, but facing a program and team extremely motivated to prove it’s worth to the SEC by winning its first conference game and announcing its arrival as an opponent to be reckoned with.

Complicating matters for the Gators is the arrival of a new staff in College Station, as Kevin Sumlin brings his pass-heavy spread attack over from a successful run at Houston.  He will have the advantage of scheming up a game plan that likely will have twists that the Florida staff will not see on any Houston game film that is tailored to his new players.  However, part of that advantage is hopefully offset by the Aggies having to start a freshman QB, and having their first game against Louisiana Tech postponed by Hurricane Isaac.  That should affect their timing and perhaps limit their efficiency, while also causing some mistakes – whether those are penalties or, better yet, turnovers.

Texas A&M does have most of its O-Line return from last year, led by 2 tackles that could be in the first 2 rounds of the NFL Draft after the season.  Solid OL play can offset a lot of other issues, and the Gator DL must elevate its play and disrupt the rhythm of the quick passing game that Sumlin employs.

The Aggie defense is led by a strong LB corps that will be coming after the Gator QBs all day long, and forcing the Florida offense to prove it can make plays down the field before they play a more honest scheme.  They will have the home crowd advantage and will attempt to dictate the tempo.  If the Gators can find some balance between the run and pass, though, they can take advantage of a young secondary and D-Line and control the flow of the game.

Kyle Field will be rocking, and a likely record crowd will be there to see this historic game, including the Visor.  The 12th Man will be in force for Aggies, trying to bring home a first SEC win.  It is tremendously hard to predict how the game will unfold, as both teams have so many questions to answer in terms of both the performance of its players, and also the coaching staffs.

Will Texas A&M’s players actually come out too hyped, and make a lot of early mistakes that help Florida grab an early lead?  Will their young QB be inaccurate or become rattled if the Gator defense comes with pressure and new looks?  Can Florida shake off a mediocre effort in week 1 and start to silence the doubters and critics?  Will Jeff Driskel be the guy to grab the starting QB job for good and elevate the play of the entire offense?  Can the Gator WRs finally make some big plays downfield to take the pressure off the running game?

I am expecting Coach Pease and the Gator offensive coaching staff to unveil some wrinkles in the passing game that allow Driskel to roll out of the pocket and allow a pass/run option to pressure the Aggie LBs and secondary.  I have to believe that Dan Quinn and Coach Muschamp have some schemes ready to confuse the young QB and force some mistakes.  The Gator defense has to play aggressively and close off the short, quick throws – sitting back and waiting is a bad plan vs. this passing attack.

It’s time for Florida to play with pride for itself and the entire SEC by stepping up with a big-time road win to start the conference season and work on erasing the bad memories of 2011.

Prediction:  Florida 23              Texas A&M 20